Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictioRs
From: charliew@hal-pc.org (charliew)
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 96 03:28:25 GMT
In article <3274247D.5232@ix.netcom.com>,
mfriesel@ix.netcom.com wrote:
>after I write...
>
(cut)
>Now you come in and say that corporate wealth may have
nothing to do
>with resource depletion. Actually I believe your statement
is half
>true, but it still has nothing to do with the issue. I
think the case
>of Brazil and elsewhere - third world countries deep in debt
to
>international lenders - is an argument against the general
truth of
>your statement. Destruction of the rain forest is in part
fueled by
>the necessity of extracting the country's resources to pay
interest on
>the debt, and part to enrich the, uh, well, if they're not
>corporations you tell me what they are. This is precisely
the same
>trick Reaganomics foisted on the U.S., by the way, and
millions of
>suckers are still reciting 'trickle down, trickle down,
>OOOOOOMMMMMmmmmmmmmmmm.
A good point indeed. The world bank is apparently not doing
any favors for those who get ensnared by its money.
(cut)
>By the way, if you want to get snooty you can call me Dr.
Friesel.
I had no intention of getting snooty. However, if you want
to go this route, I will ask you to call me Master W. Yes, I
admit that I have less education than you. Now the whole
world knows it.
I
>usually don't use my titles because I like discussion to
take place
>face-to-face where items of discussion are weighed on their
own merits
>rather than being either propped up or weighed down by
externals. I
>worked hard for this degree - I was an Illinois state
scholar, I
>worked 36 months on the railroad to afford my education, I
finished my
>undergraduate work in 2 and 1/2 years with honors despite
having to
>start out of sequence with upper division Physics. Only six
of us of
>an original class of 42 completed the honors chemistry
sequence, I
>completed Dr. McNeil's work-at-your-own-pace experimental
physics
>course in half the semester, I completed the entirety of my
coursework
>without a skip despite being run down by a car and being in
the
>hospital for three weeks with a fractured leg, a broken
back, and
>Bell's paralysis (now there's a fine coincidence!), and
despite living
>in the office behind the electronics lab for a semester
because I had
>nowhere else to go. I outperformed and outlasted an MIT
alumnus among
>others in graduate school, and I got three publications from
my
>dissertation.
Very admirable.
I had one twit at the University of Illinois in
>Champaign make an unprovoked comment about grade inflation
to a friend
>who took the time to support my application, and I got
treated like
>some kind of servant by Battelle twits who barely have the
>intelligence to turn on a light. People who want to talk
with me
>instead of to me can call me Mark, Friesel, or whatever, and
other
>more flavourful names if I talk like an ass, but if you want
to get
>snooty you can call me Dr. Friesel or take yourself and your
attitude
>and (concept deleted out of consideration for younger
members of the
>audience).
I think the medium (email) didn't adequately convey the
intent of my former posting. I apologize if it was
misinterpreted. BTW, thanks for the additional information
in your followup. I think I understand the point you were
originally trying to make.
Have a nice day.
===================================================================
For some *very* interesting alternate viewpoints, look at
http://www.hamblin.com
Subject: Re: Natural Law Party and Food Safety
From: dianne@lox.sandelman.ocunix.on.ca (Dianne Murray)
Date: 29 Oct 1996 06:15:34 GMT
In article <01bbc3be$3516a660$89d0d6cc@masher>, "Mike Asher" wrote:
I see what you're drive at for the most part but I note that you
argue around some things and miss others.
We are headed into a food crisis it seems, and that is
becasue of poor land use planning and poor water and soil
management. And poor resource management period.
But we should not let desperation lead us to a blind faith in
genetic tinkering and new biotechnologies as some kind of panacea.
There is no one panacea. Would that the world and the problems
we face were so simple!
If 1/2 of the research money that was being spent on sexy gene
tech. were put into ecology and agro-ecology and proper resiource planning
I'd hazard a guess wcould have this probloem licked.
But no one will fund that research...
if it doesn't have the word gene or DNA in it no corporate
funding body will touch it. So biologists are seduced by money form
corporations - a well equipped lab - by the sheer sexiness
of the work. The cachet associated with it.
And the prestige that the money brings.
We don't need half the gentic researtch that is happening.
There are enough apologists in departments as it is.
We need the money spread out to other subdisciplines.
And the planet will be gon down in flames if we don't get the cash
soon to do the work. Genetic research can and has helped
but it ain't the great saviour.
But besides that...
>even stranger. Genetically improved foods have already reduced world
>hunger and our dependence on pesticides, and may well eliminate both in the
>foreseeable future. Genetically-improved foods have been created that are
>safer (by containing fewer naturally-produced toxins or carcinogens), and
>foods that taste better and are less likely to mold or rot. In the
There is a large differencve between genetic alteration craeted through
cross-breeding and transgenic techniques.
It is important not to conflate the political flakiness of the
Natural law Party with theire stance on the issue of trasngenic
crops. Leaving various politics out of it - where these groups
are getting theri information from is from *geneticists* such
as Joseph Cummins, David Suzuki and others who are justly concerned
about the unknown and potentially disasterous effects of trasngenics
and bacterial transfer of some of these planted genes.
>produce more smog in L.A. than automobiles; imagine a strain of lawn grass
>that never required cutting.
Imagine planting plants that could be grown in an area in which they
did not waste water. Most ground cover plants besides graminoids,
do *not* require cutting. Why are we so stuck on lawns of graminoids?
All of these things you mention can be achieved through breeding.
Where do you thnk crop plants came from? Yeasr and years of
farmers doing genetic experiments with enough lag tiime to see the results.
The 5 kingdoms do not naturally mix.
We do not know the effect of wrecklessly placing, for example
firefly genes into crop plants so they'll light up when
they are being attacked by predators.
That's transferring genetic material from Animalia
into Plantae. It's never been... done before.
Conservative reasoning is that what we domn't know CAN hurt us.
If we are not sure we ought not to proceed.
there are other ways of increasing the food production. And many of thebuses we list are not necessary.
>The anti-science crowd bases their arguments not on fact or study, but on
>fear-mongering. They hold that 100% assurance of safety must be demanded,
You can never have 100%. But it is crazy to shoot into the dark, too.
My background is in animal behaviour and in ecology.
real scimnetists are questioning the wisdom of
plowing ahead with tehse }"god-like" experiments so quickly.
Fools rush in, eh?
>a totally random selection of mutated genes ("natural" foods) are less safe
>and desirable than plants that have had certain genes chosen for selection
>Coffee: In a 'natural' cup of coffee, there are over 1000 chemicals.
Everything is made of chemicals. What about it?
The selection for coffee and other farmed plants was
done through selective breeding, not a DNA snip
and switch technique. Traditional methods don't switch
between kingdoms. i.e. transgenics. Transgenics are
the real worry. that and the ominous possibility that
bacteria in the soil may transfer some worrisome genes
into other kingdoms frokm the tinkered plants.
Your argument for the new genetic techniques is
fallacious. Transgenic techniqus are incommensurable with
traditional breeding and selection techniques in agriculture
and husbandry.
Most plants are poisonious anyways - but we have plenty of crops taht
could be grown if people were willing to try new foods.
Many foods of the past have been abandoned simply because they do
not transport well. But they could be grown locally. And are.
And this doesn't solve the very real problems of soil erosion and
spoil mining and our diminishing water resources.
We need to expand the food and criop plants. Not tinker with
what already works.
We are losing thousands of proven breds.
Why keep tinkering the panst to fit the envirponment.
Why not maintain the envirionemnt for the proven crops?
It is wasteful and fooolish to plow recklessly ahead into
unmapped biological territory.
Nature doesn't mix Animalia and Plantae - and it's had a lot
more practise then we have. I'd wager ther's bound to be a good reason.
It's a hell of a gamble to be playing roulette with the mysteries
of what separates the Kingdoms.
Why not follow a working example instead of mucking about
like a bunch of children with a chemistry for kids set.
It's irresponsible.
I was unconcerned about this until I read some fo teh works of
geneticists who are concerned about the recklessness of
others in their profession in proceeding so quickly with these
experiments. After all, naturally-occuring mutations are
almost nearly always fatal.
Some are beneficaila but they are proven beneficial through
the laboratory of many years of existance as useful crop plants.
Not by shooting into the dark.
Which is what much of this research amounts to.
>Only 22 of these have been tested for carcinogenic properties and, of
>those, 17 turned up positive. For some reason, there seems to be little
>interest among the Greens in requiring a label on coffe products: "Warning:
>contains at least 17 known carcinogens".
This is irrelevant. All botantsist and ecologists know that
most plants in the world are toxic. There are mnovements to label
a large numbr of botanical medicines as dangerous because of
carcinogenicity.
I do agree with you that they tend to a simple outlook of Nature is Good
and overlook some of the universe's tricks and not very nice sides.
But any toxicologist worth their salt will tell you:
>>"Everything is toxic, it just depends on the dose."<<
The corrollary being "Almost anythng is edble if you
just boil it long enough"...
That's why we have livers and immune systems. Life would
have died out long ago if plants were the real threat.
there is a window. like with almost all other
harmful/helpful thngs in creation. like radiation [sunlight
for one].
>Celery. Most plants don't want to be eaten-- by humans, insects, or
>anything else. So they have evolved mechanisms to protect themselves, be
>it thorns, tough skin, or even pesticides. Most plants naturally produce
>pesticides that in many cases are far more toxic than manmade ones.
>Potatoes are an especially good example, as eating just a few ounces of
>potato-skins can be fatal. In the case of celery, the naturally produced
>pesticide (psoralens) is carcinogenic. Only with the use of _manmade_
>pesticides, can celery be safely stored and shipped to market. With
>genetic engineering, this dangerous behavior can be removed.
But many of the organochlorines and such are making ground water
suppkies for one toxic. Maybe we don't NEED celery if it's that
much bother. Traditional methods of cross-breeding and selection
have yielded heritage breeds we are losing to the new hybrids.
We shouldn't be losing *any* of our plant genetic reosurces to
the economies of scale of large seed compnies/pesticide manufacturers
which I notice you didn't mention are commonly owned by the same company.
Can you say vested interest?
We need every one of the breed we already have and to keep
the envirpnment in a state where it can continue to feed us.
You are talking green potatoes no doubt. Sure - you slice those bits out
just like you don't eat a cup full of apple pits - unless you don't
want to be around for long!
But I notice how you have left out the dose. Many things in
one quantity are beneficial and in another harmful or fatal.
that's just the nature of our complex universe - windows of safety.
I'm not sure how relevant your point here is to
the case of trasngenic engineering.
No one is suggesting we eat rhubarb leaves. Many plants load up
on toxins which in small amounts we humans consider tasty!
Just look at the glycosides in the rose family! you do like
almonds now, don't you?
Look -> the real problem with genetic engineering at this point
that geneticists are concerned about is transgenics. becasue of
the behaviour of
>selection and culling. This is, a primitive and slow process, but is
>identical in technique to modern genetic engineering: add genes for desired
>characteristics, subtract genes for undesirable ones.
yes -= but the *speed* with which they progress is NOT the same.
And there in ,lies the probolem.
It's like mixing unknown chemicals. Or eating mushrooms of unknown
species. maybe it's edible... maybe not! ;)
"I wonder what will happen if I mix *this* and THIS?"
says the budding young chemist. Usually nothing.
But it could get a reaction you don't expect and can't control.
And in chemistry and other fields that could be fatal.
We don't know how trasngenics will mix. It's NEVER BEEN TRIED BEFORE.
Why assume... anything? Why not move slowly?
In the absence of information we should err on the
side of caution and move into this fascinating area *slowly*.
Not pell mell like a teenager with his father's car out fo his first spin.
[Besides, no one really needs the flav'r sav'r tomato.
>dangerous, it's too powerful, we don't know where it will lead.
So caution is called for. Why must it always be full
steam ahead, or full stop? thats' a juvenil way of looking
at it, don't you think? Do we humasn have to insist
ion seeing things in such a simplistic light?
Can we not pause and consider before acting and then
act slowly and sensibly and safely?
>Electricity, the automobile, the airplane, and even inventions as old as
>the printing press, all experienced the same fear and suspicion. The NLP
And they have all caused problems, some more some less.
>encephalopathy) on genetic engineering, when the actual cause is the use of
>infected sheep-meat in cattle feed.
No one would say these parties are composed of scientists.
They are worried becasue of what they have heard some
scientists worrying about.
>I, for one, disagree.
Yes - you have fanatics in every area of life... I know who ypou mean.,
But why tar all those concerned with the safety of the environment
and the food supply with the same broad brush?
You do a great disservice to many people by polarizing the issue this way.
Subject: Re: Food
From: John Nahay
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 00:14:37 -0500
And I think that you have the right to be blown up in the Oklahoma City
bombing. That is MY legal right to state MY opinion. And, YOU have NO
RIGHT forcing YOUR moral opinions on me or anyone else. The FBI and the
Justice Departments should gun you down because you deserve it.
You have NO right to complain about that, because that is YOUR choice to
eat meat, and hence YOU would be responsible for your own death.
Go to some other country, if you don't like it here.
And, just because you disagree with me, don't you tell me what I can or
cannot say. You are NO better than Saddam Hussein. So, therefore, I have
as much right to tell our President to give you the death penalty as he
would to Saddam Hussein.
> Hey, fool! For the last time, there is no torture going on!
> These animals are humanely dispatched in a quick way to
> prevent suffering as much as possible. Of course, I realize
> that you are probably an animal rights activist.
>
> Just for fun, I'll add my own view of animal rights. Animals
> have the right to contribute a steak to my dinner plate. The
> last time I looked, they couldn't vote, they apparently
> cannot think of concepts more complicated than how to eat
> another animal (or plant), and they don't organize into
> societies in the same sense as humans. If animals think that
> they are being mistreated or abused, let them organize and
> overthrow us humans!
>
> Have a nice day.
> For some *very* interesting alternate viewpoints, look at
> http://www.hamblin.com
Same old bullshit, I see.
Subject: Re: depression
From: bermudez65@aol.com (Bermudez65)
Date: 29 Oct 1996 03:21:54 -0500
In article <32738C2C.1A5C@ism.net>, "Cold Mountain, Cold Rivers"
writes:
>n
>From: "Cold Mountain, Cold Rivers"
>Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 10:22:04 -0600
>
>in my readings, i occassionally run across items that bring reality to
the
>fore in an
>immediate and extremely depressing way. take the current issue of the
_land
>&
>water_activist (pesticides, food supply) newsletter. it has an uncited
(i
>think, don't have
>with me) blurb article about a european study (regarding free trade)
>concluding that it takes
>40,000 liters (~8,000 gallons u.s.) to get one truckload of strawberry
yogurt
>to its retai
>destination(s?). berries from eastern europe, plastic from germany,
cream
>from spain, etc.
>etc.
>
>tho i take pessimistic views on many individual issues, i usually manage
to
>apply myself
>to projects with energy. stuff like this takes the wind right out of me
tho;
>it brings home
>the to-the-bone inefficiency & misdirection of many of our economies.
why
>can't our
>gdp's derive from educating everyone to their full potential, teaching
health
>care/prevention,
>caring for our environment, providing an environment that stimulates
>everyones
>intellectual curiosity, etc. my observation has been that it is as easy
to
>create income from
>these activities as it is from more harmful ones.
>
>
I guess it's time to just end it all isn't it?
Subject: FS : Civil PE Exam Video For Sale
From: " Q. Yang"
Date: Mon, 28 Oct 1996 23:50:35 +0000
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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I took it. All tapes and workbook are in great conditions. =
NAME :
Civil Engineering Exam Review Videotape Program
Principles and Practice of Civil Engineering
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What follows is a description of the program from Professional =
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Examination Overview (1 hour)
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Covers the basics of hydraulics and hydrology, including =
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Structural Analysis and Design (4 hours)
Covers analysis methods of simple structures for both =
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Reviews water chemistry and physics. Examines the various =
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Introduces traffic engineering and transportation planning =
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Basics in soil classification and phase relationships. Example =
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Subject: Environmental Monitoring Brokerage Event
From: Gerald Schimak
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 10:33:27 +0100
EUREKA EUROENVIRON
Environmental Monitoring Brokerage Event
E M B E
20-22 November 1996
University of Manchester, UK
The EUREKA Programme, launched in 1985, aims to facilitate collaborative
R&D; projects between companies and research organisations accross Europe.
Within EUREKA the EUROENVIRON Programme focusess on envrionmental
technology.
Whilst assuming Chairmanship of EUREKA, the UK is hosting a Brokerage
Event which will involve all 25 members of the EUREKA network. This event
will take place at the University of Manchester on 22-22 November 1996.
Environmental Monitoring has been selected as the general subject for the
event because of the perceived trend in legislation within Europe which is
expected to create a growing demand for cost-effective and reliable monitoring
equipement. The opportunity for collaborative research provided by EUREKA
EUROENVIRON has an important role to play in this process.
The purpose of EMBE is to generate collaborative research and development
pojects in innovative environmental technology between companies, research
organisations and higher educational institutions from at least two Members
countries.
The event, which seeks to attract 200 delegates, will comprise parallel
workshops in specific technology areas, bilateral meetings arranged as a
result of advanced expressions of interest and poster sessions. The broad
technology areas for EMBE are:
- AIR MONITORING - WATER MONITORING
- SOLIDS MONITORING - DATA MANAGEMENT
The event will provide a forum for companies and research organisations from
different European Countries to meet and talk about new technology and
business opportunities. Forming partnerships with complimentary organisations
is an effective way for companies to expand their activities and make best
use of their own resources.
To find out more about how you organisation can get involved in EMBE
contact your local EUREKA (EUROENVIRON) Office, or contact the event
organiser, WRc, direct:
Dr. Peter Newman or Pauline Juggins
WRc plc,
Henley Road,
Medmenham,
Marlow, Bucks SL7 2HD, UK
Tel: +44 1491 571531
Fax: +44 1491 579094
email: cet@wrcplc.co.uk
There are National EMBE Contacts in the follwing countries:
AUSTRIA, BELGIUM, CZECH Republic, DENMARK, EUROPEAN UNION, FINLAND
FRANCE, GERMANY, GREEZE, HUNGARY, ICELAND, IRELAND, ITALY, LUXEMBOURG,
NETHERLANDS, NORWAY, POLAND, PORTUGAL, RUSSIA, SLOVENIA, SPAIN, SWEDEN,
SWITZERLAND, TURKEY, UNITED KINGDOM
Please contact Dr. Peter Newman for the address list of all
National EUREKA EUROENVIRON Contacts
------------------------------------------------------------------------
P.S: The National EMBE Contacts in
AUSTRIA are
Dr. Ingrid Prohaska
Bureau for International Research
and Technology Cooperation
Wiedner Hauptstr. 76
1040 Wien
Austria
Tel. +43 1 581 16 16 117
Fax. +43 1 581 16 16 16
prohaska@bit.ac.at
or
Dipl.-Ing. Gerald Schimak
Dept. of Information Technology
Austrian Research Centre Seibersdorf
2444 Seibersdorf
Austria
Tel. +43 2254 780 3125
Fax. +43 2254 72133
email: schimak@zdfzs.arcs.ac.at
Thanks to all for your intrest !
Gerald Schimak
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Subject: COURSE: Tools for Environmental Informatics
From: Gerald Schimak
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 10:50:03 +0100
+-----------------------------+
! !
! Tools for Environmental !
! Informatics !
! !
! April 26 - May 3 1997 !
! Delta Whistler Resort !
! !
! Whistler !
! British Columbia !
! !
! !
! Canada !
! !
+-----------------------------+
In conjunction
with ISESS 1997
The concept of environmental informatics has not yet satisfactorily penetrated North America.
There is an assumption that environmental science is orchestrated by planners and conciliators
on one hand, and civil and environmental engineers/scientists on the other. The experiences
of several groups in Canada, the U.S., Australia and Europe (most notably Germany and Austria)
would suggest otherwise.
Simultaneously the stakeholders in the academic structure and the existing environmental
regulation and policy management structure are only recently wakening to the need for
sophisticated information systems. The data are incomplete, the concepts of data management
are slow to adapt and the money at all levels (including education and training) is shrinking.
Our consortium, consisting of the University of Guelph, HTW Saarbruecken, and Austrian
Research Center Seibersdorf, together with sponsoring bodies (International Federation for
Information Processing and the German Computer Society), is organizing the
Second International Symposium on Environmental Software Systems
at the Delta Whistler resort in
Whistler, B.C.,
from April 28, 1997 until May 2, 1997.
Before, during and after the conference, we propose to schedule sufficient time for students
and faculty to attend sessions and to participate in course lectures.
Course
======
Selected, invited faculty will present 3-4 hour units of material for a course titled:
====================================
Tools for Environmental Informatics.
====================================
This course will provide advanced credit simultaneously at several institutions and
departments. We would encourage students to explore the possibility of obtaining credit
for this at a home institution by attending the lectures and locating a faculty advisor
willing to supervise a project for credit in the course. Non-students with the prerequisites
will receive a letter/certificate of participation and assistance in converting the course
to whatever they wished.
Theme
=====
The theme of the course is: Environmental data management and environmental information
systems have to bridge gaps in time and space in data, information and knowledge.
Elements of modelling, statistical computing, scientific database, visualization,
environmental statistics (including risk assessment), uncertainty estimation and management,
integration of heterogeneous and legacy systems and knowledge engineering all contribute to
a better understanding of environmental problems.
Students will be encouraged to select one of Topic 17 or 18, but not both and a number from
the remaining list. Each individual’s topic list would have to be approved in advance.
Topics
======
The following form the basis for a set of topics:
1. Introduction and Overview of Course
2. Overview on Environmental Informatics
3. Environmental Monitoring
4. Issues in Modelling
5. Data Visualization
6. Statistical Computing
7. Spatial Data Organization, GIS Applications
8. Expert Systems, Belief Networks
9. Artificial Neural Networks, Soft Computing
10. Metadata Management
11. Planning Aspects
12. Environmental Impact Assessment, Risk Assessment
13. Data Integration Problems
14. Design of Environmental Networks
15. Life Cycle Assessment and Recycling
16. Environmental Software Engineering
17. Biomonitoring
18. Case Studies for Integration
19. Environmental Science for Computer Scientists, Planners
Note: undersubscribed course modules may be cancelled, or offered only as so-called
reading course modules.
Prerequisites
=============
An advanced degree in progress in one of: Systems Engineering, Computer Science,
Computer Engineering, Civil Engineering. A degree in progress in Environmental Science,
Geology, Geography, Planning or Biology with a demonstrated undergraduate education in the
computational sciences or equivaent industrial or governmental experience.
Cost of Course
==============
The cost of the course must be borne by the student or the student’s university. It is
expected the course fee will be $650.00(CDN) for the course only or $800.00(CDN) for the
course and ISESS97 registration. A 7% tax, refundable to visitors to Canada, will be added
to the fee. The second fee will apply only to certified graduate students in a degree
program recognized by the ISESS organizing committee.
Participating Universities
==========================
University of Waterloo (Biology),
University of Guelph (Computing and Information Science, Environmental Science),
Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft des Saarlandes (Computer Science),
Fachhochschule Nuertingen (Planning)
Faculty (preliminary)
=====================
Don Cowan, Professor, Department of Computer Science, University of Waterloo, Canada
Ralf Denzer, Professor, Computer Science Department,
Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft des Saarlandes, Germany
Peter Fischer, Professor, Department of Geography, Saarland University
Reiner Guettler, Professor, Computer Science Department,
Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft des Saarlandes, Germany
Lorenz Hilty, Professor, Computer Science Department, University of Hamburg, Germany
J.J. Hubert, Professor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics,
University of Guelph, Canada
D.C.L. Lam, National Water Research Institute, Environment Canada
Roman Lenz, Professor, Fachhochschule Nuertingen, Germany
Colin Mayfield, Professor, Department of Biology, University of Waterloo, Canada
Bernd Page, Professor, Computer Science Department, University of Hamburg, Germany
Claus Rautenstrauch, Professor, University of Constance, Germany
Gerald Schimak, Austrian Research Center Seibersdorf, Austria
Deborah Stacey, Associate Professor, Department of Computing & Information Science,
University of Guelph, Canada
David Swayne, Professor, Department of Computing & Information Science,
University of Guelph, Canada
--------------------------cut here--------------------cut here------------------------cut---
======================
= REGISTRATION FORM =
======================
TOOLS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATICS
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___________________________________________________
Signature
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We encourage registering by emailing this information to:
Dr. Swayne, dswayne@uoguelph.ca
================================
For More Information Contact:
Dr. David Swayne,
Department of Computing & Information Science,
University of Guelph,
Guelph, Ontario, Canada N1G 2W1
Email: dswayne@snowhite.cis.uoguelph.ca
Fax: +1-519-837-0323
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictioRs
From: Leonard Evens
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 05:47:37 -0600
Michael Tobis wrote:
>
> John McCarthy (jmc@Steam.stanford.edu) wrote:
>
> : I am aware that many people who consider themselves environmentalists,
> : e.g. Len Evens and Michael Tobis in this newsgroup, agree that nuclear
> : energy is at least part of the solution.
>
> I'm sorry. I do not consider myself an "environmentalist". I find the
> terminology useful in referring to a group of people who start with
> conclusions and select evidence accordingly. They are opposed by another
> group, which may be called "anti-environmentalists", because they oppose
> environmentalists, not because they consciously oppose a sound envrionment.
> These people also start with conclusions and select evidence. I consider
> both groups quite dangerous.
>
> I prefer to start with evidence and reach conclusions. I believe the
> same is true of McCarthy. We tend to align with opposite sides on many
> issues because we do not share priorities, default assumptions or ideas
> about the burden of proof. However, despite the fact that he may perceive
> me as agreeing with "environmentalists" more than disagreeing with them,
> my intentions and ideas are not theirs.
>
> Others, I understand, may define the terms differently, and may be
> comfortable with one of the labels. I am not.
>
> mt
I, on the other hand, am comfortable with the label. The premises that
I start with are that our species has had and will probably coninue to
have major impacts on the biosphere, both locally and globally and that
not all these impacts are likely to be benign in the long run for our
species.
Having said that, I try to judge each issue on its merits. For example,
I don't believe, on the basis of the evidence as I understand it, that
it is very likely that low frequency magnetic fields are likely to have
any significant effect on our species either directly or indirectly.
As another example, I believe in the controlled use of antibiotics to
cure disease although this will definitely in the long run affect the
evolution of some bacteria which interact with humans. However, I
think it is important to exercise some restraint in such matters.
On the other hand, like Michael Tobis, I believe from what I have been
able to learn that the probability of adverse consequences from enhanced
greenhouse induced climate change is high enough to merit some action to
limit the growth of concentrations of greenhouse gases in our
atmosphere. I believe such actions must be brought about
democratically, and the only method I know that will work is education.
I don't believe radical changes in our economy will be necessary at this
point to achieve these ends, but I fear that, if climate change is
extreme because of delay, radical changes in our society will be forced
on us by external events.
Leonard Evens len@math.nwu.edu 491-5537
Department of Mathematics, Norwthwestern University
Evanston Illinois
Subject: Re: Freon R12 is Safe
From: lparker@larry.cc.emory.edu (Lloyd R. Parker)
Date: 29 Oct 1996 08:50:21 -0500
Mike Asher (masher@tusc.net) wrote:
:
: CFC's do not destroy ozone.
That's like saying a gun doesn't kill, but the bullets that come from it
do. Without CFCs in the stratosphere, there wouldn't be the Cl radicals
that destroy ozone.
: The theory is that a CFC breakdown product--
: specifically chlorine monoxide-- is responsible.
Sorry, that's a fact. We've measured CFCs, the Cl radicals from them,
and the ClO byproduct there. The ClO, BTW, is not a CFC breakdown
product -- it's the result of the Cl radical attacking an O3 molecule and
pulling an O atom off it.
: Typically it is chlorine
: monoxide and other reactive forms for chlorine that are measured in the
: stratosphere.
The only way ClO is formed there is from Cl reacting with O3.
:I am not aware of any stratospheric measurements done for
: CFCs; typically this is done at ground-based stations. Perhaps you can
: provide some information on this?
We most certainly have measured CFCs in the stratosphere.
:
: It is interesting to note that, not only are CFCs naturally produced,
Absolutely false. There are NO natural sources of CFC.
: but
: that many other chemicals are highly effective at ozone destruction (HC1,
: NO, NO2, CH4, and even water vapor).
Also totally false. Only substances that produce Cl radicals can attack
CFCs, so your NO, NO2, CH4, and H2O can NOT do this. HCl is water
soluble and does not make it to the stratosphere or stay there long
enough to form significant numbers of Cl radicals.
You might learn some chemistry and some science before posting such
erroneous statements.
Subject: Re: Bicycling vs. riding the bus
From: jim blair
Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 08:00:10 -0800
Tim Shoppa wrote:
>
>, a
> >few trucks do much more damage to a road than hundreds of cars. This
> >implies that while cars should pay more using the roads, trucks should
> >pay MUCH more.--jeb
>
> On the other hand, it's the trucks that bring people who live
> in the cities their food. (I'm going to completely ignore the
> rail vs. truck issue here.) If you made trucks pay substantially
> more for using the roads, the cost would come out of the pockets
> of everyone (rich and poor alike, they all eat about as much food).
>
> Many countries, as a matter of fact, realize the necessity of
> trucks and as a result have substantially lower
> taxes on diesel fuel than on gasoline. You obviously feel
> differently and, I presume, boycott all food items transported
> by truck?
>
> Tim. (shoppa@triumf.ca).
But you can't avoid the "Train vs Truck" conflict here, since they are the choices. Below is a recent letter on
this.
tctvoice@captimes.madison.com
Re: Big Trucks.
A recent letter described a "near death" experience of a car driver in
their encounter with big fast trucks at I90 and I94 near Madison. A recent
truck car collision killed 5 people, and the I think ANYONE who drives on
the highway much knows that large trucks are a hazard to cars.
A recent Sound Off caller expressed a common misconception: that we "need
big trucks on our highways, or else transporting goods would be more
expensive". This is not only not true, it turns the economics of
transportation on its head: rail transport in inherently much cheaper than
truck. That is why trucks add additional trailers. They got double
trucks, and now want 3. When three are accepted, they will push for 4. A
truck is more efficient, the more it is like a train.
Then why did trucks replace trains for long distance transport of goods?
That was a POLITICAL and not an ECONOMIC decision. The government
decided to penalize trains and subsidize trucks. Starting early in this century,
and lead by people who called themselves "Progressive" there was a policy
decision to undermine the railroads and build highways that could be used
by both cars and trucks for "free". That is, the full cost of construction
and repair would not be charged to the users. There was a gas tax of a few
cents, but cars and especially trucks were not taxed nearly enough to cover
the costs. It was "Rich Rail Barons" vs "the little guys".
(See my web page files on "the Gas Tax" and "Tradegy of the Commons")
Well the Rich Barons "lost". But clearly if the trucking industry had to
build their own highways, they would discover that laying rails was much
cheaper. Then they could link dozens of bottoms together to be hauled by
one cab, and they would become--TRAINS!
Damage to roads by vehicles is related to the weight of the vehicle. If trucks
were charged (relative to cars) in proportion to relative weight, could they
compete with trains for long distance hauling? And there is some claim that
the damage factor should be (weight) to the forth power.
In any rational transport system, goods would be loaded into truck sized
containers at seaport docks or points of origin and transported by rail for
the long distances to rail heads near the final destination, then removed
to be pulled by tractors over city streets for the final few miles to the
final distribution point. This would be both cheaper and safer than the
current politically (not economically) directed system.
--
,,,,,,,
_______________ooo___( O O )___ooo_______________
(_)
jim blair (jeblair@facstaff.wisc.edu)
for a good time, call http://www.execpc.com/~jeblair/