Back


Newsgroup sci.environment 111240

Directory

Subject: Re: UV purifiers eliminate ALL dangerous pathogens? -- From: cigolott@nbnet.nb.ca (tom c.)
Subject: Re: Clinton's Call for Emission Controls Is Premature -- From: Steinn Sigurdsson
Subject: Re: China and Food (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy) -- From: Steinn Sigurdsson
Subject: Environmental Consultants Directory - how to get an entry -- From: info@ends.co.uk (Environment Data Services Limited)
Subject: Re: Clinton's Call for Emission Controls I -- From: wmc@bsfiles.nerc-bas.ac.uk (William Connolley)
Subject: Socialism and Environmentalism -- From: redflag@dcfreenet.seflin.lib.fl.us (Christian Camacho)
Subject: Re: 2000 - so what? -- From: onesong@ix.netcom.com(Marcus S. Robinson, D.C.H.)
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions -- From: gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com (gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Subject: Re: The Netherlands Fallacy (was: Christianity and indifference to nature) -- From: yuku@io.org (Yuri Kuchinsky)
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy -- From: bg364@torfree.net (Yuri Kuchinsky)
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions -- From: gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com (gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com)
Subject: Re: How did nuclear testing affect environment? -- From: Doug Craigen
Subject: Re: 2000 - so what? -- From: Freestone Wilson
Subject: Re: Corporate "call boys": MORE OF THE SAME -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: So just why is capitalism so great? -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: Use of pine needles to monitor ambient PCP -- From: B.Hamilton@irl.cri.nz (Bruce Hamilton)
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: JSCHLOER@rzmain.rz.uni-ulm.de (Jan Schloerer)
Subject: Re: So just why is capitalism so great? -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup -- From: oyvindse@ulrik.uio.no (\yvind Seland)
Subject: Re: China and Food (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy) -- From: Dale Wagner
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy -- From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Subject: Re: "Is air getting cleaner?" -- From: Lotto Lai
Subject: Re: Wind Power -- From: Mike Bergey
Subject: Re: "'Haze' by any other name is 'smoke'" -- From: Jane Allen
Subject: Re: Mountain Bikers Are Carrying GUNS! -- From: Kristan Roberge
Subject: Re: Mountain Bikers Are Carrying GUNS! -- From: drh92@aber.ac.uk (DANIEL ROBERT HOLDSWORTH)
Subject: Re: The Limits To Growth -- From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Subject: Re: Yuri receives hypocrite of the week award (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy) -- From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Subject: Re: Corporate "call boys": MORE OF THE SAME -- From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Subject: Re: Stone Age Economics - part two -- From: David Weinstein
Subject: Carbon Dioxide -- From: truthman@cyberus.ca
Subject: Re: "'Haze' by any other name is 'smoke'" -- From: kfoster@rainbow.rmii.com (Kurt Foster)

Articles

Subject: Re: UV purifiers eliminate ALL dangerous pathogens?
From: cigolott@nbnet.nb.ca (tom c.)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 09:59:01 GMT
In message <57a9gp$8hg_001@ind-0001-4.iquest.net> -
vanfrank@iquest.net (Richard Van Frank)Sun, 24 Nov 1996 20:31:31
GMT writes:
]
]In article <5701im$pcp@news.chatlink.com>,
]   soltherm@chatlink.com (renewable ) wrote:
]>I have the feeling that tough Ultra Violet Purifiers,
]>eliminate most dangerous disease causing agents,
]>onl boiling water (pasteurization) is 100% effective.
]>
]>Does anyone have an opinion?
]>
]>dsg 
]>
]The lenght of time the water is boiled is critical as is the exposure conditions 
]for UV. 
]RMVF
UV is pretty good if you are NOT dealing with cysts\spores or
water high in suspended solids.....ie) cleanish water with live
organisms.
Filtering the water with fine filter would help on both counts.
Even boiling water would not garantee conplete disinfection when
dealing with spores\cysts.
regards
tom c.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Clinton's Call for Emission Controls Is Premature
From: Steinn Sigurdsson
Date: 28 Nov 1996 10:52:02 +0000
ddeming@geophysics.scif.uoknor.edu (D. Deming) writes:
> In article , Steinn Sigurdsson
>  wrote:
> > 0.6 C over a century appears to be a 2 sigma excursion,
> > or possibly little greater than that.
> How do you know?
Literally? I spent a day in stuffy room listening to
a series of presentation on paleoclimate, historical
climates (and analysis of systematic error in the record),
time series analysis, modeling and current global data;
during the course of which, a long term coarse-grained mean,
a 100+ year noisy time series and the current state
were presented and compared with coarse-grained model
averages with and without various forcing terms.
I haven't looked up English naval records myself, I haven't
looked through Hadley's GCM code (although I suspect I've
seen more than a few of the kernels and all of the equations),
and I didn't take the time series and calculate the statistics
myself, although I could were I so inclined;  however what
people told me was believable, apparently correct and consistent
with normal practise in the physical sciences, and the numbers
were an apparent match with the eyeballed raw time series.
Oh, and before and after I read a couple of dozen articles and reviews on
the same issue in refereed journals and in conference proceedings.
So, given previous caveats, I am as confident in the above statement
as I am about any statistical statement about a non-lab
physical system.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: China and Food (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy)
From: Steinn Sigurdsson
Date: 28 Nov 1996 10:43:01 +0000
The Followups on this should be truncated, darned if I know
to what subset...
sync@inforamp.net (J McGinnis) writes:
> It is a fact that the developed nations are on land naturally, (ie -
> regardless of technology), suited to agriculture. This is no
> coincidence obviously, it is part of what allowed these countries to
> become successful in the first place.
Are you honestly going to claim that any part of, say, Sweden
(which is "developed" by most definitions) is better
suited to agriculture than, say, the yellow river delta?!
Return to Top
Subject: Environmental Consultants Directory - how to get an entry
From: info@ends.co.uk (Environment Data Services Limited)
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 11:46:00 GMT
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
+    CALLING ALL UK ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANTS      +
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
With four editions since 1988, the ENDS Environmental Consultants
Directory is now recognised as the definitive source of information on
UK environmental consultancies.  New for 1997, we are publishing the
Directory on the Web and on CD-ROM, as well as the traditional paper
version.
So if you want to be in the next edition, just fax ENDS on 0171 415
0106 or e-mail PMowatt@ends.co.uk for a brochure and questionnaire.
Please state your company name and postal address.  Closing date: 20th
January 1997.
Environmental Data Services Ltd
Finsbury Business Centre
40 Bowling Green Lane
London  EC1R 0NE
Tel: +44 (0)171 278 4745
Fax: +44 (0)171 415 0106
Environmental intelligence for professionals    -    www.ends.co.uk
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Clinton's Call for Emission Controls I
From: wmc@bsfiles.nerc-bas.ac.uk (William Connolley)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 12:22:50 GMT
In article 251196091016@129.15.42.22, ddeming@geophysics.scif.uoknor.edu (D. Deming) writes:
>Your critcism (and others) seem to be that the 1990 IPCC graph
>is uncertain.  I think we all understand that.  The question
>is, do you have an objectively better estimate?
Apart from uncertainty in the graph (which means you certainly shouldn't use it
for comparing small differences over long periods) your reading of it is wrong.
You asserted that T(now) is lower than in most of the last 10kyr. That isn't true,
even using the graph - you've forgotten to add on the warming (.3 to .6 oC) that
occurred between the beginning of this century and now. If you do that, T(now) is
higher than the temperature over most of the last 10ky or the last 1ky.
- William
---
William M Connolley | wmc@bas.ac.uk | http://www.nbs.ac.uk/public/icd/wmc/
Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey | Disclaimer: I speak for myself 
Return to Top
Subject: Socialism and Environmentalism
From: redflag@dcfreenet.seflin.lib.fl.us (Christian Camacho)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 12:46:40 GMT
The People
May 27, 1995
Vol. 105 No. 4
SOCIALISM: TRUE EMBODIMENT 
OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL MOVEMENT
By B.B.
It may not be the first thing on its agenda, but 
somewhere high at the top of the list of the first congress of 
the socialist industrial union government of North America will 
be placed sweeping measures to reverse centuries of plunder 
and destruction of the earth's resources and the attendant 
environmental degradation. Millions of workers who remained 
unemployed, underemployed or engaged in totally useless 
nonproductive occupations will suddenly find themselves 
absorbed in the tasks of rebuilding their world, one shattered by the 
abuses of class rule and open-ended profiteering. Their ardent 
efforts, freed from any restrictions imposed by private-ownership 
interests and operating only for the good of humankind 
and the world, will be in sharp contrast to the feeble and timid actions 
of the "environmentalists" of the capitalist system who 
are perennially preoccupied with garnering political influence 
among politicians and trying to raise the monetary funds to carry 
on their work.
Current environmentalists, limited in their world 
view and understanding of the capitalist system, imbued 
with notions of the "evil men" theory of history, are prone to 
divorce their specific environmental cause from the whole 
socio-economic fabric. These environmental warriors of 
capitalist society endlessly flounder, winning, at best, only a 
delaying action against the disintegrating effects of capitalism 
on the natural world.
However, there is one important legacy they are 
leaving behind for the future. It is data, mountains and 
mountains of exposes, reports and documentation, that amount to 
indictments of capitalism as the culprit for the destruction of 
the environment. University libraries are bulging, research 
establishments are filled, publishers are glutted and periodicals 
are saturated with data: data about endangered creatures large and 
small, from sea lions to snail darters, wolves and coyotes to 
Bengal tigers, pandas, eagles, condors, spotted owls, whooping 
cranes, salmon and sea horses, along with all the vegetation of 
their native habitats. Hardly anything seems to have escaped 
the scrutiny of those scientists and researchers who weigh in 
with pounds, kilos and tons of reports and findings that Mother 
Nature is in deep trouble.
The capitalist system finds all of this tolerable 
as long as no explicit condemnations of its operations are 
forthcoming. Indeed, reports and data accumulation are welcome and 
even encouraged by various foundations, and one can make a 
comfortable living because of the earth's dying. It's as though 
uncovering an environmental problem is equal to doing something 
about it; a lot cheaper, too!
Two recent examples of such documentation, blaming individuals 
without indicting the system, appeared recently. One, an article 
in The New York Times of April 7, entitled "El Dorado, Lost 
Again?" by Leah Martins and Patrick Tierney; the other, "The 
Puzzle of Declining Amphibian Populations," by Andrew R. Blaustein and 
David B. Wake, in the April edition of Scientific American.
The former informs us that Venezuela and Brazil are selling off 
vast areas of rain forest to gold-prospecting companies in the 
Guiana Highlands separating the Amazon and Orinoco watersheds. 
Gold deposits estimated at $90 billion, "perhaps 10 percent of 
the planet's resources," are there. European, Japanese and South 
African gold capitalists are destroying "one of the planet's 
richest rain forests" and the habitat of the last unassimilated 
tribal peoples, the Pemon Indians.
Yellow-Jack Resources, a Canadian outfit, has evicted native 
peoples from their hunting and fishing domains while the 
lecherous Robert Friedland, owner of the notorious Summitville 
gold mine in Colorado, has descended upon the Guiana Highlands 
(with $50 million he obtained from the Vancouver Stock Exchange) 
for a repeat performance of the polluted mess he left behind in 
Colorado, where the clean-up costs were estimated by the EPA at 
$100 million. Incredibly, this villain acquired a vice presidency 
in the Minas Guarich strip-mining company partially owned by, of 
all people, explorer-naturalist Charles Brewer-Carias, a renowned 
research associate of the University of California and the New 
York Botanical Gardens!
Brewer-Carias, while posturing as an environmentalist and savior 
of the Nanomami Indians, saw nothing contradictory in operating 
open-pit mines on over 12,000 acres in the environmentally 
protected headwaters of the Cuyumi River! Not to be outdone by 
Friedland, he employed unsalaried Maguiritare Indians for mining 
while "he destroys not only nature but also the men who work for 
him," according to Gergio Milano, an anthropologist and retired 
police official. The "innovative" Mr. Brewer also ferried 
University of California anthropologists to the last uncontacted 
cluster of aboriginal villages in the Amazon without quarantine 
precautions on a gold-extracting junket, according to three 
Venezuelan Air Force colonels.
The report goes on to urge the Brazilian and Venezuelan 
governments to prevent strip-mining and encourage environmentally 
safer measures. Fat chance! Capitalists always take the most 
"cost-effective" route to extract minerals and wealth from the 
earth. The conditions of capitalist competition force them to do 
so--a realization too distant for the authors of the Times report 
to grasp.
In the other article, from Scientific American, the authors 
report that the declining populations of frogs, toads and 
salamanders worldwide to be partially due to their high exposures 
to ultraviolet radiation as a result of ozone depletion in the 
atmosphere. These research scientists documented "massive die-off 
of fertilized eggs" in Cascade Mountain frogs in Oregon, and in 
the western toads. Their experiments on fertilized eggs hatched 
in controlled laboratory conditions using the same lake water 
that they breed in produced healthy specimens. They proved that 
extensive environmental destruction, acid rain and snow, 
fungicides, herbicides, insecticides and industrial chemicals--in 
other words, capitalism's infernal brew--were all contributing to 
dramatic declines in amphibian populations. None, they 
emphasized, have been more damaging than "habitat degradation and 
destruction [which] clearly remain the most powerful causes of 
amphibian disappearance around the world."
These scientists have drawn innocuous conclusions, without the 
essential inference that environmental degradation is inherent in 
capitalist development. Such an inference would, of course, have 
led to only one conclusion: that meaningful action to repair our 
world can only be taken when the competitive pressures of 
capitalism, indeed the capitalist system itself, is abolished and 
socialism established.
Upon the basis of the evidence accumulated by today's 
environmentalists, a socialist industrial union government will 
take swift, positive and massive efforts to restore the 
environment. The first step toward doing so, of course, will be 
to change the basic purpose of social production, from production 
for profit to production for use--inherently conservationist in 
its orientation.
We can expect the workers of every industry to evaluate the 
repercussions of the productive processes they are engaged in. 
Biologists, botanists and scientists throughout society will be 
part of this reassessment, in which the measure of production 
will be humanity and all living things, and the future 
generations of all living things.
In this sense, the possibility for a true environmental movement 
lies within the program of the Socialist Labor Party, for only 
that program can turn the accumulated mass of environmental 
documentation into effective action to restore the world.
--
"Knowledge is proud that he has learned so much; wisdom is humble that
he knows no more."
redflag@dcfreenet.seflin.lib.fl.us
Return to Top
Subject: Re: 2000 - so what?
From: onesong@ix.netcom.com(Marcus S. Robinson, D.C.H.)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 14:08:28 GMT
Greetings All,
The year 2000 matters very little in the lifetimes of mankind.  What
matters most is how we colectively and individualy use our time.  The
truth is not "out there."  In fact, its "In Here" and exits now!
Marcus S. Robinson, DCH
Voyager...On the Path of Transformation E-Journal
http://www.vivanet.com/~marcus/voyager.htm
author of
One Song Hero: The Inward Journey of an Urban Shaman"
http://www.vivanet.com/~marcus/osh1.htm
In <57fbib$1us@newsstand.cit.cornell.edu> sg19@cornell.edu (Silvana
Grandillo) writes: 
>
>Actually, according to some scholars we ARE already in the year 2,000
>
>It is believed, infact, the Christ was born some 4 years before the
time 
>that it is commonly known.
>So, 1996 would turn into 2,000.
>So, we ARE into the new millenium (according to some who studied the 
>matter).
>Does it still matter ?
>
>S. 
>
>In article <57f76n$80s_002@leeds.ac.uk>, CDS4AW@leeds.ac.uk says...
>>
>>In article <56vkke$qp6@news.one.net>, 
>>api@axiom.access.one.net (Adam Ierymenko) wrote:
>>
>>>Actually, the milennium does matter.  I don't think it has 
>>any supernatural
>>>significance, but it will feel different.  Something about 
>>a number with three
>>>zeroes after it.  A new *thousand years*.
>>>
>>>It will feel like, well, the future.
>>
>>But I think a lot of people might just wake up one day in 
>>March or April 2000 and think, hey, what the hell has 
>>changed? because people are kind of seeing it as some "new 
>>dawn".... then when they realise nothing has changed, 
>>there'll be a lot of pretty pissed off people out there. 
>>
>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
>>"The most perceptive work on British Politics in the
>>last 150 years may turn out to be 'Alice in Wonderland'"
>>(Neil Middleton, 1993, "Tears of the Crocodile")
>>
>>cds4aw@lucs-01.novell.leeds.ac.uk
>>Any unsolicited e-mail will not even be read,
>>so don't bother.
>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
>
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions
From: gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com (gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com)
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 14:46:08 GMT
charliew@hal-pc.org (charliew) wrote:
>In article <578gg5$tl5@News2.Lakes.com>,
>   gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com (gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com) 
>wrote:
>>charliew@hal-pc.org (charliew) wrote:
>>well there's examples worldwide where technology has lead 
>to enviro
>>problems and the correction has only made the situation 
>worst
>> 
>There are also examples worldwide where technology has 
>increased peoples' lifespans, cured illnesses, reduced their 
>amount of manual labor, transported them long distances in 
and just what does any of those things have to due with the
environment.Like all dits you have to throw up some silly strawman to
present an arguement because you lack any data or facts to back the
indefensable
>short amounts of time, enabled them to communicate globally 
>for *very* little expense, etc., etc.  I don't read where 
>you complain about the benefits of high technology.  I 
>suppose that you think that there are some things in this 
>world that only have benefits to them, and no drawbacks?  
>Perhaps you think the environmental movement fits into this 
>category?
 the environmental movement has no drawbacks.Unless you favor short
time gain for the rich elitist over long term loss for everyone.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:43:45 +1100
R. Bailey (bailer@rpi.edu) wrote:
>eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling) wrote:
>>My viewpoint on this matter comes from extensive investigation.  I
>>find nowhere any conclusions to scientific studies which discount
>>the idea that ozone depletion is a natural phenomenon, and I find
>>plenty of reasons to suggest that it has little or no importance
>>consequences as a biological hazard.
>WHAT INVESTIGATIONS? 
The same papers, journals and web sites which denizens of this ng 
insist refute my claims.
>Do you have experimental data that refute the>commonly held views? 
I don't think I have made myself clear.  The available experimental 
data has led me to my conclusions:  
1. That polar stratospheric ozone depletion is a natural process.
The data available suggests that the conditions and chemical ingredients 
have been there all along. I find no data or conclusions which refute this.
Perhaps you would like to suggest some evidence which concludes otherwise?
2. That there is no significant biological hazard arising from ozone
   depletion.
The evidence for this is straight forward.  Ozone depletion at the poles 
results in insignificant UV increase, because the sun is so low on the 
horizon.  Also  the increases in UV at mid-latitudes is very low compared 
to daily, seasonal and global variations.
I have not seen one single experiment yielding data which suggests that 
ozone depletion results in bio harm.  If there is any such data, then 
please post the reference.
>Can you show explicitly where the chemistry or the
>numbers are wrong? 
The chemistry and the numbers I have seen so far are IMO correct, and I 
do not dispute them.
It is the conclusion that CFCs should be banned which I refute. 
This conclusion is not based on the data I have seen.  It is a 
political decision only, and does not, nor will it ever, have any 
significant impact (positive or negative) on the preservation of 
the environment.
>Wishing doesn't make it so.
Neither does spending a lot of money on non-existent environmental 
problems.
...Greig
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:45:00 +1100
Franz Gerl (gerl@Theorie.Physik.UNI-Goettingen.DE) wrote:
>So your memory is as week as your arguments.
Actually I have a record of my previous posts.
>Some of your calculations would have been intersting
>15 years ago, when research into the ozone hole began.
Please show me any recent research which invalidates my calcs.
Please Franz, I'm really interested in finding out about the 
research which has had such a strong influence on your 
belief system, that it is immovable.
>I left it to the experts in sci.environment to show
>that research has closed the matter, and that your
>arguments are not valid.
I have not yet had an 'expert in sci.environment' show me anything 
I don't already know or that my arguments are invalid.  So please, 
Franz, since you're so keen to criticise, take up the baton.
>I mostly had fun with your attempts at economic
>calculations, trying to justify the ridiculous
>2 trillion dollar figure, which exposed you
>as the ideologue to anybody who can grasp these numbers.
Hmm, whose memory is weak?  The 2 trillion figure was a quote from 
a valid reference (I've yet to see you produce one).  And I never 
tried to justify the figure, because it is not mine.
Now Franz, why don't you debate the subject, rather than waste 
our time with pointless abuse?
...Greig
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:46:02 +1100
Joshua B. Halpern (jbh@ILP.Physik.Uni-Essen.DE) wrote:
>Greig Ebeling (eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au) wrote:
>: I happen to think Ralph Cicerone and Sherwood Rowlands are good
>: referees.  But if you insist, I have references to back up
>: everything I claim, which I excluded for brevity.
>:
>
>greig darling, if your quotes were accurate, they were blowing
>you off.  go smell the roses.
Actually Josh, both gentlemen were very polite, and agreed with 
almost everything I suggested.  The only contention was over the 
issue of ozone depletion being a natural phenomenon.
Rowlands suggested that it was a logical conclusion (since all 
the ingredients were present), but that some anecdotal evidence 
(early data by Dobson) suggested to the contrary.
Cicerone avoided the question.
...Greig
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 20:13:29 +1100
Paul F. Dietz (dietz@interaccess.com) wrote:
>I can only conclude, then, that you are either stupid or dishonest.
Please please, let's be civil.
>The evidence as presented in the literature is strong, that:
>
>  (1) Photochemical reactions in the stratosphere involving
>     chlorine (and perhaps bromine) are the proximate cause
>     of the Antarctic ozone hole, and
And I agree with this.
>  (2) The chlorine is overwhelmingly anthropogenic.
I disagree with this.  A lot of it is anthropogenic, but quite a 
lot existed prior to CFCs, arising from the photolysis of methyl 
chloride.
>There is no credible theory in the literature holding that the
>Antarctic ozone hole is a natural phenomenon 
Yes, but the accepted theory implies that it is (at least partially).
>(although the natural
>environment there, particularly formation of ice particles, does
>affect the reactions.)
Affect???  If you mean by ice crystals, polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) 
then you have underestimated their role.  Stratospheric ozone depletion 
does not occur in their absence, which is why the ozone hole is over the 
Antarctic!
My point is, all the ingredients for ozone depletion existed long before 
CFCs, so it must be a natural phenomenon.
>Perhaps you could cite this supposed contrary opinion?
>Please stick to refereed geophysics and atmospheric chemistry
>journals, not trade rags like "Machine Design" or Lyndon Larouche
>publications.
I have posted a complete description of my reasoning (complete with 
references) in this newsgroup.  If you miss it let me know and I 
will email it.
...Greig
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au (Greig Ebeling)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:42:15 +1100
Sam McClintock (scmcclintock@ipass.net) wrote:
>Greig Ebeling  wrote:
>> I happen to think Ralph Cicerone and Sherwood Rowlands are good
>> referees.  But if you insist, I have references to back up
>> everything I claim, which I excluded for brevity.
>>
>> Which part of my post do you think requires clarification?
>
>Nothing you posting needs clarification because there was
>nothing of substance.  
A matter of opinion (and a comment lacking substance).
>If you wish to post something of
>substance, again please let us know.  All you have to do
>is post one reference of actual research (within the last
>decade to keep it simple), and we can discuss/debate
>all you want.
I had thought that my original post was quite logical and that a 
discussion could proceed without it becoming convoluted, but since 
you throw down the gauntlet, here is my response.  I look forward 
to your (adequately referenced) response.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Ozone depletion is a natural phenomenon.
The chemistry involved in polar stratospheric ozone depletion has been 
well researched and is described in a number of excellent publications.
The following description of the ozone depletion chemistry is derived 
from Parson's Ozone FAQ at http://www.cis.ohio-state.edu
/hypertext/faq/usenet/ozone-depletion/antarctic/faq-doc-12.html.
Briefly, ozone depletion results from the reaction of inorganic chlorine 
compounds (HCl, ClONO2) on the surface of polar stratospheric clouds PSCs.
The inorganic Cl compounds arise from the photolysis of organic compounds 
which rise to the stratosphere by eddy diffusion.  These organochlorides 
include methyl chloride (natural) and CFCs.
PSCs are crystals of nitrogen compounds (eg nitric acid) and water.  They 
occur at -80 deg C.  PSCs do not occur at greater than this temperature.
During winter, inorganic Cl compounds HCl and ClONO2 react with the PSCs to 
form large amounts of ClO.  When the sun returns in spring, the ClO reacts 
rapidly as follows:
     ClO + ClO -> ClOOCl
   ClOOCl + hv -> Cl + ClOO
          ClOO -> Cl + O2
   2 Cl + 2 O3 -> 2 ClO + 2 O2
          ^^^^
In recent times ozone Antarctic ozone depletion has been measured to 
increase each year.  This correlates with the increased abundance of 
inorganic Cl due to the increase of man-made CFCs.  However there are 
a number of anomalies which cast doubt on the idea that this is the 
sole cause of the so-callesd ozone hole.
(1) Ozone depletion also correlates very strongly with PSC concentration. 
For example consider the correlation between observed temperature rise, and 
decrease in observed ozone depletion in 1988. [Shanklin].  In that case, 
reduced PSCs due to relatively high temperatures resulted in a dramatic 
decline in ozone depletion rates.
Since inorganic Cl compounds and PSCs occur naturally, and 1993 UARS 
measurements and studies of Arctic ozone depletion [Waters et al]
[Gleason et al] show that PSCs are critical in the reaction, the 
entire observation of Antarctic ozone depletion can be logically 
expained by natural mechanisms involving cyclical stratospheric 
temperature variations.
(2) There has always been a relatively large burden of inorganic Cl 
    present.
Since direct measurement of the gaseous composition of the stratosphere
has been occurring only for the last 20 or so years, proof by direct 
measurement of the natural state is not possible, and all discussion on
this subject is of course speculative.
However HCl was first measured in 1976 [Farmer et al.] [Eyre and Roscoe].
It is now well known that in the stratosphere the HCl mixing ratio 
increases with altitude, rapidly up to about 35 km, and then more slowly 
up to 55km and beyond.
Also it is known that the mixing ratios of naturally occurring CH3Cl shows 
a rapid decrease with altitude in the stratosphere.  The turnover in organic 
chlorine correlates nicely with the increase in inorganic chlorine.  This 
suggests that CH3Cl may be being photolyzed as it rises high enough in the 
stratosphere to experience enough short-wavelength UV. [Fabian et al. ] 
[Zander et al. 1987] [Zander et al. 1992] [Penkett et al.]
Methyl chloride (CH3Cl) comes mostly from natural (biological) sources, and 
is estimated to pass from the troposphere to the stratosphere at the rate of 
about 1 Mt/year.  It is reasonable to assume that this flux has been 
occurring, at least at this rate, for about a billion years.
Whilst there are well known natural sources of organic and inorganic chlorine, 
and proven mechanisms for the transportation to the stratosphere, there are 
no demonstrable mechanisms for the removal of HCl from the stratosphere.  The 
argument that a drop off of HCl with altitude in the troposphere is evidence 
of a low natural upward flux, may also be applied to the stratosphere in 
reverse.
[From Parsons FAQ, Copyright 1995]
 "...the mixing ratio of HCl _decreases_ with altitude in the troposphere,
 reaching vanishingly small values at the tropopause, and then _increases_
 with altitude in the stratosphere.  This rules out all processes in
 which HCl slowly drifts upward from the troposphere."
This also implies that there is no downward drift either.
Therefore, if there is no significant sink for HCl in the stratosphere, then 
a low flux over millenia of volcanic and biological activity will produce a 
large natural burden of inorganic chlorine reservoir compounds in the 
stratosphere, at least as significant as the natural tropospheric burden.
Consider that mixing ratio measurements for HCl from Kitt Peak go from 1.6e15 
molecules/cm^2 in 1977 to ~2.6e15 molecules/cm^2 in 1990.  The source for 
this is Rinland et al., J. Geophys. Res. _96_, 15523, 20 Aug 1991 (with 
thanks to Robert Parsons).  I assume these figures are for stratospheric
HCl only.
Assuming the above figures to be correct, then I calculate:
HCl Mixing ratio  = 2.6e15 molecules/cm^2 in 1990
Area of earth     = 510E6km^2 = 5.1E18cm^2
No. molecules HCl = 1.326E34 molecules
No. moles HCl     = 1.326E34/6.02E23
                  = 2.2E10 moles
Mass of HCl       = 2.2E10 * 36 grams/mole
                  = 7.9E11 g
                  = 790 kt
Assuming that the increase is entirely from CFCs (ie avoiding the volcano 
debate), the contribution from CFCs is about 2.3kt /year or less than 3% 
of total Cl from CFC flux (~1-2Mt/year).
Also calculating the mass of HCl in 1977 and extrapolating backwards, the 
natural burden of HCl is about 450 kt.
Therefore inorganic Cl compound flux from CFCs is small compared to the
natural burden of HCl in the stratosphere.
BTW the contribution from natural sources -photolysing of methyl chloride 
and perhaps (gasp) volcanos - is about 1/4 of that from CFCs [WMO 1991] 
[Solomon] [AASE] [Rowland 1989,1991] [Wayne], or about 500 t/year.  This 
is the mechanism for generating the 450kt natural burden.
One observation which suggests a natural burden of inorganic Cl follows:
 Measurements in the Chappuis ozone absorption band by the Astrophysical 
 Observatory of the Smithsonian Institution at Mount Wilson, California, 
 in 1912 were studied by Gotz and others, who reported on the ozone 
 decline in various publications. Katmai erupted when inorganic chlorine 
 from anthropogenic sources was probably at negligible levels. 
 Courtesy Forrest M. Mims III,  Sun Photometer Atmospheric Network (SPAN)
Also from Parson - Copyright 1995:
                                           "The total amount of HF
 in the stratosphere increased by a factor of 3-4 between 1978 and
 1989 [Zander et al., 1990] [Rinsland et al.]; the relative increase 
 is larger for HF than for HCl (a factor of 2.2 over the same period)
 because the natural source, and hence the baseline concentration,
 is much smaller."
Translation:  there is much more natural stratospheric HCl than HF 
arising from anthropogenic sources.
The only evidence against the notion of a large natural burden of inorganic 
Cl compounds is that Dobson, as quoted in his book Exploring the Atmosphere 
failed to measure a significant drop in ozone in his initial observations 
during the 50s and 60s.  The reasoning is that since PSCs are naturally 
ubiquitous (and ASSUMED a constant factor) then no observed ozone depletion 
means no stratospheric Cl compounds.  
It is worth noting that one of Dobson's co-workers, Marcel Nicolet, admitted 
in a TV interview, that during the 50s and 60s, anomalous readings below 
250 DU were not officially recorded because, said Dobson: "Noone 
will believe them". (ref: Interview on Belgian TV "Fair skin, stay 
in." Sept 18, 1992).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Ozone depletion causes no biological damage.
Ozone depletion at the poles results in insignificant UV increase, 
because the sun is so low on the horizon.  Also the area affected is 
almost entirely devoid of life larger than microbes.
At mid-latitudes increase in UV due to ozone depletion is very low 
compared to daily, seasonal and global variations.  This is due to an 
absence of PSCs (at mid-latitudes) and so ozone depletion only takes 
place there in the presence of sulphate aerosols from volcanic activity 
(which is natural).
In urban areas of the US, UV-B levels showed no significant increase
(and in most cases actually decreased a little) between 1974 and
1985. [Scotto et al.].  This is probably due to increasing urban
pollution, including low-level ozone and aerosols. [Grant]
[from Parsons FAQ, Copyright 1995]
 Several studies [Kerr and McElroy] [Mims] [Seckmayer et al.]  [Zerefos
 et al.] have presented evidence of short-term UV-B increases at middle
 latitudes associated with the record low ozone levels in 1992-93. As
 discussed in Part I, these low ozone levels are probably due to
 stratospheric sulfate aerosols from the 1991 eruption of Mt.Pinatubo;
Studies done prior to the Mt Pinatubo eruption show no more than a correlation 
with the flow of ozone poor polar air during the summertime breakdown of 
the polar vorticies.  At most the effects are only a few percent, which is 
insignificant relative to daily, seasonal and global variations.
There is also considerable evidence which supports the assertion that fatal 
melanomas are related to UV-A and natural light (and not UV-B).  This means 
that it is not possible to correlate ozone depletion with human fatality. 
[Balliunas]
Considering the fact that UV levels have not risen significantly in 
populated areas, and that it is unlikely that small increases in UV-B will 
have negative effects anyway, it is difficult formulate a testable 
hypothesis, let alone devise a test to prove that ozone depletion 
causes biological harm.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
3. The Montreal Protocol is expensive, and ineffective in curbing ozone 
   depletion.
From MONTREAL PROTOCOL ON SUBSTANCES THAT DEPLETE THE OZONE LAYER  
LONDON, 27-29 JUNE 1990
           ARTICLE 5:  SPECIAL SITUATION OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES18
 1.   Any Party that is a developing country and whose annual calculated
 level of consumption of the controlled substances in Annex A is less
 than 0.3 kilograms per capita on the date of the entry into force of the
 Protocol for it, or any time thereafter [within ten years of the date of
 entry into force of the Protocol] until 1 January 1999, shall, in order
 to meet its basic domestic needs, be entitled to delay for ten years its
 compliance with the control measures set out in Articles 2A to 2E [...]
That is over 100 Mt of CFCs, which developing countries may release into 
the atmosphere, which is far more than the 1990 annual rate for 
developing countries.  What's more, further restrictions are based on 
the funding of technology transfers from developed to developing 
countries, a hidden cost in the abolition of CFCs for countries like 
Australia.
Also China, Japan, Indonesia and Korea are not party to the Montreal 
Protocol, while developed countries (which are party to the MP) like Australia 
are obliged, according to the Montreal Protocol, to pay for the changes in 
infrastructure in developing countries.  
Not only is the MP an ineffective solution, but it is expensive.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
References:
Robert Parsons Ozone FAQ Copyright 1995.  In particular 
sections (2.6) How is chlorine distributed in the stratosphere?, and
(7.) Why is the hole in the Antarctic?
[Balliunas] Dr Sallie Balliunas PHD, 13th 
annual congress of doctors for disaster preparation - "Is the ozone 
layer threatened?" 1995.)
[Shanklin]J. D. Shanklin, British Antarctic Survey, personal 
communications,  1993-95.
[Rinland et al]Rinland et al., J. Geophys. Res. _96_, 15523, 20 Aug 1991
[Waters et al.] J. Waters, L. Froidevaux, W. Read, G. Manney, L.
Elson, D. Flower, R. Jarnot, and R. Harwood, "Stratospheric ClO and
ozone from the Microwave Limb Sounder on the Upper Atmosphere
Research Satellite", _Nature_ _362_, 597, 1993.
[Gleason et al.] J. Gleason, P. Bhatia, J. Herman, R. McPeters, P.
Newman, R. Stolarski, L. Flynn, G. Labow, D. Larko, C. Seftor, C.
Wellemeyer, W. Komhyr, A. Miller, and W. Planet, "Record Low Global
Ozone in 1992", _Science_ _260_, 523, 1993.
[Farmer et al.] C.B. Farmer, O.F. Raper, and R.H. Norton,
"Spectroscopic detection and vertical distribution of HCl in the
troposphere and stratosphere", Geophys. Res. Lett. 3, 13, 1975.
[Eyre and Roscoe] J. Eyre and H. Roscoe, "Radiometric measurement
of stratospheric HCl", Nature 266, 243, 1977.
[Fabian et al. 1979] P. Fabian, R. Borchers, K.H. Weiler, U.
Schmidt, A. Volz, D.H. Erhalt, W. Seiler, and F. Mueller,
"Simultaneously measured vertical profile of H2, CH4, CO, N2O,
CFCl3, and CF2Cl2 in the mid-latitude stratosphere and
troposphere", J. Geophys. Res.  84, 3149, 1979.
[Fabian et al. 1981] P. Fabian, R. Borchers, S.A. Penkett, and
N.J.D. Prosser, "Halocarbons in the Stratosphere", Nature 294,
733, 1981.
[Penkett et al.] S.A. Penkett, R.G. Derwent, P. Fabian, R.
Borchers, and U. Schmidt, "Methyl Chloride in the Stratosphere",
Nature 283, 58, 1980.
[Zander et al. 1987] R. Zander, C. P. Rinsland, C. B. Farmer, and
R. H. Norton, "Infrared Spectroscopic measurements of halogenated
source gases in the stratosphere with the ATMOS instrument", J.
Geophys. Res. 92, 9836, 1987.
[Zander et al. 1992] R. Zander, M. R. Gunson, C. B. Farmer, C. P.
Rinsland, F. W. Irion, and E. Mahieu, "The 1985 chlorine and
fluorine inventories in the stratosphere based on ATMOS observations
at 30 degrees North latitude",  J. Atmos. Chem. 15, 171, 1992.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: The Netherlands Fallacy (was: Christianity and indifference to nature)
From: yuku@io.org (Yuri Kuchinsky)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 15:15:12 GMT
Andrew Taylor (andrewt@cs.su.oz.au) wrote:
	...
: What I do understand is in that trying to discredit Ehrlich et al.  in
: his sci.environment posting on this subject John McCarthy made a number
: of errors.
: First he misquoted Ehrlich et al. in a form that he could easily
: falsify [5], then he confused consumption with biomass [6], then
: confused metabolic rate with growth rate [7], then didn't know there
: is an important relationship between biomass and energy flow [8].
: Not understanding undergrad ecology is no crime.  Even then presuming a
: perceived discrepency in an explanation of undergrad ecology by a
: well-known ecologist is a mistake on the ecologists behalf is merely
: foolish.
: Broadcasting this claim with an accompanying defamation is much worse.
: It seems to me John McCarthy's defamation is instead a fair summary of his
: contribution here:
: 	"great at making up slogans but not so good on facts."
Many of us knew this all along.
In my books, John M. comes under the heading of 
	!!! TROLL !!!
Regards,
Yuri.
--
           **    Yuri Kuchinsky in Toronto   **
  -- a webpage like any other...  http://www.io.org/~yuku  --
Most of the evils of life arise from man's being 
unable to sit still in a room    ||    B. Pascal
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy
From: bg364@torfree.net (Yuri Kuchinsky)
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 14:22:01 GMT
Jeff Skinner (tigger@bnr.ca) wrote:
: _]: I agree with this, but one must consider the possibility that the 
: _]: screwed up governmental policies and civil wars are significantly exacerbated
: _]: by existing local overpopulation. 
: _]
: _]Not a possibility, but a certainty! This is so obvious that only a 
: _]complete ideological fanatic will fail to see the connection. Fanatic 
: _]with a hidden agenda.
: _]Yuri.
:  Fanatic with a hidden agenda. Its good, I like it. How about
: adding it to your sig, yuku ?
Hey, I don't have a "hidden agenda"!
Ecologically,
Yuri.
-- 
Yuri Kuchinsky          | "Where there is the Tree of Knowledge, there
------------------------| is always Paradise: so say the most ancient 
Toronto ... the Earth	| and the most modern serpents."  F. Nietzsche
-------- A WEBPAGE LIKE ANY OTHER: http://www.io.org/~yuku -----------
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 15:15:36 GMT
In <57cfcv$q19@news.inforamp.net> dlj@inforamp.net (David Lloyd-Jones)
writes: 
>
>On Thu, 14 Nov 1996 08:06:36 -0700, mfriesel@ix.netcom.com wrote:
>>
>>What continually amazes me is the number of Ashers and McCarthys who 
>>present themselves as experts at everything having to do with the 
>>environment and the economy, science, medicine and technology; and 
>>will do those trained in a given field the honor of defining their 
>>terms for them, will provide experts in a field with the correct 
>>interpretation of pertinent data, and tell them what information is 
>>pertinent and what is not as well. 
> 
>It is of course a lie and a libel to say that Asher or McCarthy
>"present themselves as experts on everything having to do with
>environment and the economy."
> 
>But then it doesn't take an expert in anything, only a certain amount
>of logic and ordinary factual knowledge, to poke holes in the drone
>and moan of the environmental catastrophists.
Accepting the basic premises of a discipline is not a 
precondition for passing critical judgment on it.
It does not take an astrologist to discard astrological
forecasts as worthless. On the contrary, it takes
a non-astrologist. 
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions
From: gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com (gdy52150@prairie.lakes.com)
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 15:01:18 GMT
charliew@hal-pc.org (charliew) wrote:
>In article <57ial3$2th@spool.cs.wisc.edu>,
>   tobis@scram.ssec.wisc.edu (Michael Tobis) wrote:
>>charliew (charliew@hal-pc.org) wrote:
>>
>>: Wrong!  I have much knowledge of thermo and quantum 
>>: mechanics.  I also have much knowledge of human nature 
>and 
>>: the effect of pessimistic/liberal attitudes on peoples' 
>>: outlooks on life.  I find it amusing that you pessimists 
>>: think mankind is intelligent enough to get into trouble 
>with 
>>: his inventions, but too stupid to find a way out of the 
>>: trouble that has been created from those inventions.  Oh, 
>>: yee of little faith!  Based on your outlook and 
>assumptions, 
>>: it is a miracle that humans have existed on this planet 
>for 
>>: this long!
>>
>>I can't speak for other pessimists, and I find it 
>irritating
>>that people respond to perceived social groups rather than
>>actual arguments. 
>>
>>For myself, I think people are smart enough to find
>>solutions, but not smart enough to figure out a way to 
>implement
>>them. I think that the evidence that we should avoid 
>increasing
>>emissions (NOTE - avoid increasing the annual rate of 
>emission,
>>not cut of all emissions) in particular is prudent and 
>cost-effective,
>>but fuzzy thinking like charliew's will likely prevent us 
>from
>>doing this, and in the end, the price to be paid will be 
>much
>>larger than otherwise. This is not because of insufficient
>>understanding as a maximum among the society - the usual 
>measure
>>of scientific and engineering progress, but because of 
>insufficient
>>understanding among the broad reaches of democracy.
>>
>>If someone as bright as charliew can't be brought to 
>understand
>>risk management in the face of uncertainty, how can we hope 
>for
>>society as a whole to accede to up-front costs to avoid 
>much
>>larger risks, especially when those risks which will be 
>proven 
>>without doubt only in the event that the policy is 
>unsuccessful???
>>
>>At least in conventional insurance situations there's 
>usually someone
>>around to say "thank goodness I had the flood insurance". 
>We only
>>have one biosphere to play with, and so long as we avoid 
>serious
>>problems there will be those who argue that the problems 
>were always
>>imaginary. I don't see that society's ability to identify 
>legitimate
>>expertise versus junk science is improving, and ultimately 
>that's
>>a necessary precursor to a logical response. And even that 
>necessity
>>is far from sufficient.
>>
>>mt
>> 
>Let's see why I seem to exhibit "fuzzy" thinking.  The last 
>time I checked, we were all practically doomed by 50 parts 
>per trillion of freon in the stratosphere, CO2 is going to
well charlie and the rest of the anti enviro group refuse to cite peer
reviewed work to back their ludicrous claims. But for those that
intrested in the damage of increased uv exposure from ozone
destruction via cfcs. Check out the following article detailing the
increase in skin cancer. Slaper, Nov211996 Nature.
>lead to catastrophic climate change, I can't expect to 
well the UN report has already stated that human's are responsable for
a increase in global temp.
>remain healthy if I eat red meat, chicken, fish, traces of 
>any kind of pesticide, cholesterol, etc., my drinking water 
>has traces of every contaminant known to man in it, bacteria 
>are now eating human flesh and getting so strong that no 
>antibiotic can affect them, AIDS will kill us all if we 
>don't immediately find a cure, and so on, ad nauseum!  All 
>of these catastrophes are occurring in a time when I am
one effect that has been postulated for global warming is increased
disease
>statistically living longer and healthier than ever before, 
>due largely to the technological progress that many 
>environmentalists seem so hell-bent to eliminate!
charlie is really clueless. The environment movement is not trying to
eliminate technology,but certainly demand that technolgy proceed in an
environmently friendly way.
>I am sick and tired of the "boy who cried wolf".  If 
>positive proof exists that something harmful needs 
>attention, I don't have a problem in taking action.
well if you read the scientific lit you would already know we have the
positive proof
>However, for all the chicken littles out there, I say it's 
>time to put up or shut up!  Show me a real problem that will 
>ultimately lead to catastrophe, or stop preaching your same 
>tired droning sermon!  I'm getting very tired of hearing the 
>same sad song, especially in a day and age when an optimist 
>would say that things have never looked better.
>BTW, have a happy thanksgiving.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: How did nuclear testing affect environment?
From: Doug Craigen
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 09:58:11 -0600
Todd Andrews wrote:
> 
> Tracy W wrote:
> >
> > How did nuclear testing affect environment deeply?
> 
> It didn't.
I was living in Vancouver back in the days of the Chernobyl disaster.  
Vancouver prides itself on its great water, but either because of 
Chernobyl or perhaps as a routine, the supply was tested for 
radiocativity and was found to be contaminated.  This made headlines, at 
least locally.  What was less known however was that further testing of 
the contamination didn't look like reactor products, but rather like bomb 
products.  When pressed the US military acknowledge that yes, they had 
just exploded a test under the desert.
|++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++|
| Doug Craigen                                                 |
|                                                              |
| Need help in physics?  Check out the pages listed here:      |
|    http://www.cyberspc.mb.ca/~dcc/phys/physhelp.html         |
|++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++|
Return to Top
Subject: Re: 2000 - so what?
From: Freestone Wilson
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 08:49:31 -0500
This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
--------------7FF6594E2CB5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Silvana Grandillo wrote:
> 
> Actually, according to some scholars we ARE already in the year 2,000
> 
> It is believed, infact, the Christ was born some 4 years before the time
> that it is commonly known.
> So, 1996 would turn into 2,000.
> So, we ARE into the new millenium (according to some who studied the
> matter).
> Does it still matter ?
> 
> S.
> 
> In article <57f76n$80s_002@leeds.ac.uk>, CDS4AW@leeds.ac.uk says...
> >
> >In article <56vkke$qp6@news.one.net>,
> >api@axiom.access.one.net (Adam Ierymenko) wrote:
> >
> >>Actually, the milennium does matter.  I don't think it has
> >any supernatural
> >>significance, but it will feel different.  Something about
> >a number with three
> >>zeroes after it.  A new *thousand years*.
> >>
> >>It will feel like, well, the future.
> >
> >But I think a lot of people might just wake up one day in
> >March or April 2000 and think, hey, what the hell has
> >changed? because people are kind of seeing it as some "new
> >dawn".... then when they realise nothing has changed,
> >there'll be a lot of pretty pissed off people out there.
> >
> >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
> >"The most perceptive work on British Politics in the
> >last 150 years may turn out to be 'Alice in Wonderland'"
> >(Neil Middleton, 1993, "Tears of the Crocodile")
> >
> >cds4aw@lucs-01.novell.leeds.ac.uk
> >Any unsolicited e-mail will not even be read,
> >so don't bother.
> >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
...hello.....
i have heard..."the true history of a culture...is its myths"
that 4-BC birthdate of Jesus...is not relavant!!!!!..as it is not part
of the myth, I feel.
each age, is a millenium.....each 1000 year age.
here is my feelings..done on a "jounal-disk".....on this matter, of the
meanings of the end-times millenium.  they are part of a series of
visions that i had...on the end-times and earth changes.....
if anyone would like to read the visions, themselves, that i had...in
the 1992-now...time frame...mail me..[[free@polaris.net]]
...freestone
--------------7FF6594E2CB5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; name="high school vision 3.txt"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Content-Disposition: inline; filename="high school vision 3.txt"
  Date: 
        Sun, 17 Nov 1996 07:31:45 -0500
  From: 
        Freestone Wilson 
    To: 
hi..again  ....here is last night's dream.
i typed it out, for someone else..it is not word wrapped!
,,,freestonenov. 17--i had a dream...that i went to my high school, and
met with fellow students and teachers...from the 1960's!!  i have the
suspician that this was partly astral---there may have been a bunch of
people, who OBE--ed to come here.  and..somehow i was telling them
something...BEYOND my ordinary knowledge...as if i were, myself,
channeling it, or recieving inspiration.
i hope so!!!  for I, who have been recieving all these VISIONS of the
end-times, where  "IT BEGINS, IN 1996" (!!!)  ...i would HOPE that this
dream is true...as i have had so many visions of great suffering...some
of which, is on this very comment section!
---for "i"..merely told these people..."that the Lord, in his mercy, has
permitted an INDIAN SUMMER of the spirit, to bless the earth, at this
time.  ..and that everyone should take great advantage, of this time of
grace, to progress one's soul, and to get right with spirit, and to
finish up all the creative acts, of one's life"!!!
  MY!.....in my childhood place of growing-up (where this high school,
is)..there is this thing called, "Indian Summer".  it is where there is
a whole stretch of fall, october , weather...of perfect skies...warm
temperatures...calm winds..and the leaves are so so colorfull.  it can
go on for a week, or even for several weeks.  it is a time for to get
ready for winter; and a time to enjoy the beauty of upstate New York, at
its fine-ist.
  so,  from this dream...if it IS of spirit, reporting of the will of
the Lord...we will, for a year or so...have a calm earth...no great
major volcanoes..no great disasters!!  it is a time to "finish up the
Schoolwork", of one's life-missions...to make amends with all people, to
forgive one and all...to be creative..to reach out to Spirit, and to let
go of what you cannot take with you.
  in the Northlands..if there is an Indian Summer...that seems to go on,
perfect; seemingly forever...watch out!!!  ---for WHEN  the artic blast
comes..it will roar in BIG TIME ..and freeze everything dead, in one
fridgid, freezing, blast...of 40 mph winds..and 10 degrees far.
temperatures..snow covering all!
so..do it now, during this time of grace!---finish up high school, and
prepare for college!
freestone..nov 17
--------------7FF6594E2CB5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; name="no.txt"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Content-Disposition: inline; filename="no.txt"
Freestone Wilson wrote:
>
>  that i did not feel that the end-times were "bad"!
>    maybe i should briefly summerize my position....
> 
> 
> {{Why I am not depressed, over the end-time prophetic visions that i
> received!!! }}
> somewhere in the Bible it says that  after we go to heaven, after the
> rapture and all of us will be with Jesus...in a new heaven-new
> earth...it is not a FINAL promotion!!  for Jesus and the ascended
> masters live in the celestial realms...with God..co-creators with God.
> but, this celestial realm--s is/are far above the new heaven-new earth!
> Jesus comes down, so to speak, and establishes an OUTPOST, of himself,
> and with his saintly helpers..on the new earth; which, this new earth,
> is ABOVE our earth, in vibration.  we, from here-now...can not see this
> new earth-to-come...its vibration will be on the lowest level of the"
> heaven-floors"--in this "skyscraper" called "the heavens"!
>   there, Jesus will help us all, get ready to be able to go with Him, to
> go live in the Celestial realms--with Jesus...where God is!!!
> a "1000" years to be with Jesus...those who can not "make it"..will
> start again, i imagine..onto a physical earth, somewhere.
> 
> ---this is what i mean, by "college"!!
> a "1000" years with Jesus and the Masters...to get us "up to speed"..to
> go live in Jesus's home world!
> because the "natural laws"..of this new earth, will be Spiritual
> laws,(after all, this world will be in the heaven-realms!)...this is why
> "Jesus will be with everyone---he will be before all our eyes"!!
> 
> ---it will be as if there are TWO souls, in our hearts...yours---and
> Jesus's!!! when we grow, thus, in our souls, to be the same "size" as
> Jesus's soul...we go into and through him...into his home, celestial,
> worlds!
> all this will occur, after the end-times, rolls over the age...and the
> new age begins...and many of us will be up there, in this new
> college-earth...to begin the course-work, just described!
> 
> what will it be like??!!!
> these last few years, have been a foreshadowing of what is to
> come...much creativity...the "NET"..forgiveness...greater love...etc----
> ---we tain't seen nothun, yet!!!!!i cannot imagine the 1,000,000%
> change, after the next age begins!!!
> 
> set up long ago..before man walked the earth...
> thus, the Georgian calendar..is only a REFLECTION of this pont of time
> of the changes!!---these changes were set in "concrete"...ages ago...and
> the "year 2000", only reflects this...as the "year 2000" was set up, to
> be "now"!!!---back then..at the church council meetings...1500-odd years
> ago!
> 
> too...4000 BC..is the creation.  3000 BC..is the 2nd milleniium
> beginning.
> 0 BC_AD..is the beginning of the 5th millenium.  1000 AD..begins the 6th
> millenium.  thus..the 7th millenium begins at 2000 AD!!!
> and it is so---that the "7th day" is a day of rest...meaning:
> NONPHYSICAL!!!  the 7th octave, of a "7 tier-system"---is always
> partaking, of the next tier-level, above that one!
> as if the 7th year, of a grade school/ high school, partakes of the
> COLLEGE, to come, after graduation!
> 
> non-physical!
> be with Jesus, Individually...He will be a Private tutor..for each of
> us, individually. (or some other Master, perhaps, for some!)...we will
> learn to be living in the Celestial-realms, with this tutoring. .the
> lower Celestial realms, after our "1000 years"..will be our GRAD
> SCHOOL!!   the doctor's degree, we will study for, there ..will enable
> us to become Citizens of the Galaxy!!!...the "Galactic Foundation"..of
> progressed spirit-races...from all over the galaxy..much like our
> science fiction writers have imagined!!
>   we are getting a taste OF THIS CELESTIAL REALM, NOW...if WE CAN OPEN
> TO IT..AND NOT LET OUR "SINS".....become what is manifested...as the
> "tares WILL sprout, along with the wheat"!!!
> --Freestone
> 
--------------7FF6594E2CB5--
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Corporate "call boys": MORE OF THE SAME
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 16:59:31 GMT
In <3299E756.7608@ilhawaii.net> Jay Hanson 
writes: 
>The relationship between environmental scarcity and violent conflict
>is well known
... not to exist.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Major problem with climate predictions
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 16:55:29 GMT
In <57cikt$80s_004@leeds.ac.uk> CDS4AW@leeds.ac.uk (A. Whitworth)
writes: 
>
>In article <3294811A.2781@studi.unizh.ch>, David Christopher 
>Probst  wrote:
>>John Moore wrote:
>>>
>>> Sure, there are exceptions... a few.
>>
>>What do you mean by exceptions? There are exceptions to any 
>rule, aren't
>>there?
>
>That is about the least useful statement it is possible to 
>make with regard to any debate at all. Saying that something 
>is "the exception that proves the rule" is just a way to 
>ignore something and hope that it goes away. If there is an 
>exception then there is no rule, so find out why the 
>exception is there. 
In _King's English_, by Fowler and Fowler, an explanation
is given to that strange expression, "the exception proves the
rule": it was originally used by lawyers in the sense that the
lawgiver, by specifying an exception, confirms his
understanding that there exists a rule to which 
this is an exception. E.g., a law exempting some
people from conscription would not make sense
in the absence of conscription. So, in a debate
about the lawfulness of conscription in general,
such a law might be used to argue that it is lawful.
I've seen other people argue (and quote a dictionary) 
that "proves" in this locution really 
means "tests" (like "the proof of the pudding is in the eating").
An exception certainly *does* test a rule - and
flunk it, too.
I doubt this interpretation (in spite of the
dictionary's authority): people also say 
"the exception confirms the rule"; and apparently in French
and in Russian only this version exists, without
the ambiguity of the English word "prove".
Fowler's interpretation makes more sense to me.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: So just why is capitalism so great?
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 16:23:41 GMT
In  jmc@Steam.stanford.edu (John
McCarthy) writes: 
>
>1. Capitalism is not great.  It's just better than the alternatives.
This seems to be a distinction without a difference.
Capitalism (to the extent that it exists)
is the freest, fairest, most efficient
and most progressive economic system known, by 
a large margin.  If this is not "great", what is?
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Use of pine needles to monitor ambient PCP
From: B.Hamilton@irl.cri.nz (Bruce Hamilton)
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 15:24:04 GMT
Maxy Mariasegaram  wrote:
>A small question for people who might be familiar with this area: what is
>the extent of PCP breakdown in pine needles or within leaves in general? I
>have not been successful in finding any literature that covers this area. 
Wow, a scientific question about the environment, appropriately
cross-posted.
Although I'm not familiar with the area, I'd suggest getting ( if you
haven't already - in which case ignore this message ) "Organic
Pollutant Accumulation in Vegetation" Staci L. Simonich and Ronald
A. Hite. Environmental Science and Technology v.29 p.2905-2914.
In it, you will find an email address for one of the authors ( to whom
you could address your question ), and a discussion on degradation
of some organics in vegetation. They also reference several papers 
that use pine needles, including two that measured PCP, namely
S.Jenson,G.Ericksson, H.Kylin, W.M.J.Strachen
Chemosphere, 1992, v.24 p.229-245.
W.M.J.Strachen,G.Ericksson, H.Kylin, S.Jenson
Environ. Toxicol. Chem. !994, v.13 p.443-451. 
         Bruce Hamilton
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 17:59:13 GMT
In <57dgat$e82@news.inforamp.net> dlj@inforamp.net (David Lloyd-Jones)
writes: 
>Brian,
> 
>I would have thought that there is a good case to be made that Siberia
>is overpopulated. 
Paradoxicaly, this makes sense. The net flow of people across
the Urals has been westward for many decades.
At this very moment there is a terrible fuel and food
crunch in parts of Siberia, and desperate 
people are fleeing to European Russia, where they have neither
jobs  nor apartments.
> It's now twenty-four years since I've been there,
>but since that time Lake Baikal has been found to be severely polluted
>and shrunken in size.  When I was there people already talked
>wistfully about how good the hunting had been in their fathers' time.
Though true, it is not the reason
for the "overpopulation". Hunting and fishing couldn't
support that many people, anyway. The real reason
is given in the next sentence: this is not really
overpopulation but underdevelopment.
>To find a place that is not over-populated you have to go to someplace
>like Holland -- where there is the technical superstructure to provide
>for the human beings.  Oddly, we know how to do that for a region of
>industrial agriculture.  It's wilderness, with which we have thousands
>of years of experience, that we don't know how to handle properly.
But we do: turn it into a Holland.
We don't have a proper treatment for poverty -
*except* to eliminate it.
The same is true of wastelands.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: JSCHLOER@rzmain.rz.uni-ulm.de (Jan Schloerer)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 17:05:41 GMT
... aus.politics not accessible from here, deleted.
In  article  <57jj97$qmn$1@sydney.DIALix.oz.au>
    Greig Ebeling  (eggsoft@sydney.DIALix.oz.au)  included:
    [...]  The argument that a drop off of HCl with altitude in the
    troposphere is evidence of a low natural upward flux, may also be
    applied to the stratosphere in reverse.
Not, if the HCl mixing ratio in the lower stratosphere is higher
than in the upper troposphere.  Which currently, to my knowledge,
is the case.  In the upper troposphere HCl appears to be typically
below 100 pptv, compared to several hundreds of pptv of HCl in the
lower stratosphere.  [Zander, fig.1] [Vierkorn]
    [...] This also implies that there is no downward drift either.
    Therefore, if there is no significant sink for HCl in the strato-
    sphere, then a low flux over millenia of volcanic and biological
    activity will produce a large natural burden of inorganic chlorine
    reservoir compounds in the stratosphere ...
I'm not sure what you try to say here.  Do you claim that no air
is exchanged between the troposphere and the stratosphere ?
(Wondering where all that 14C and 10Be is coming from :)
Or do you mean to say that there are little demons at the
tropopause saying "no trespassing" if stratospheric HCl
tries to enter the troposphere ?
   [Vierkorn]  B. Vierkorn-Rudolph,  K. Baechmann,  and  B. Schwarz,
      Vertical profiles of hydrogen chloride in the troposphere,
      Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry 2 (1984), 47-63
   [Zander]  R. Zander,  M.R. Gunson, C.B. Farmer, C.P. Rinsland,
      F.W. Irion, and E. Mahieu,  The 1985 chlorine and fluorine
      inventories in the stratosphere based on ATMOS observations
      at 30 degrees North latitude,   Journal of Atmospheric
      Chemistry 15 (1992), 171-186
By the way, does anyone happen to know what current
estimates of stratospheric turnover time look like ?
(I mean the number of years it takes an air mass equal
to the mass of the stratosphere to be exchanged across
the tropopause.)
Jan Schloerer
jschloer@rzmain.rz.uni-ulm.de
Return to Top
Subject: Re: So just why is capitalism so great?
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 17:19:37 GMT
In  hexis@netcom.com (James C. Harrison)
writes: 
>
>The Greeks knew that any unopposed power would destroy itself. A world
>with only market values suffers from this problem. 
No, it does not - because a market is an arena
where *many* powers interact.
>Capitalism works as 
>well or better than other economic systems so long as its power is 
>moderated by other genuine powers.
Capitalism is (among other things) economic *pluralism*.
Under capitalism many powers *are* moderating each other.
The above objection to capitalism is therefore 
sophistical, based on arbitrarily bundling
many things, and then complaining that
there is only one bundle.
It is saying that some tyranny is needed 
to offset the tyranny of freedom; that some
uniformity ought to be added  to diversify the uniformity
of diversity; that some monopoly must be introduced
to balance the monopoly of a non-monopolistic
market.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ozone hole=storm in a teacup
From: oyvindse@ulrik.uio.no (\yvind Seland)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 18:06:38 GMT
Greig Ebeling writes:
>Consider that mixing ratio measurements for HCl from Kitt Peak go from 1.6e15 
>molecules/cm^2 in 1977 to ~2.6e15 molecules/cm^2 in 1990.  The source for 
>this is Rinland et al., J. Geophys. Res. _96_, 15523, 20 Aug 1991 (with 
>thanks to Robert Parsons).  I assume these figures are for stratospheric
>HCl only.
>Assuming the above figures to be correct, then I calculate:
>HCl Mixing ratio  = 2.6e15 molecules/cm^2 in 1990
>Area of earth     = 510E6km^2 = 5.1E18cm^2
>No. molecules HCl = 1.326E34 molecules
>No. moles HCl     = 1.326E34/6.02E23
                  = 2.2E10 moles
>Mass of HCl       = 2.2E10 * 36 grams/mole
                  = 7.9E11 g
                  = 790 kt
>Assuming that the increase is entirely from CFCs (ie avoiding the volcano 
>debate), the contribution from CFCs is about 2.3kt /year or less than 3% 
>of total Cl from CFC flux (~1-2Mt/year).
I think the 2.3 kt should be 23 kt =~ 2-3 % of total CFC flux, but it is 
still a lot less than 1 Mt.
I am wondering how you can find a emission rate of 2 Mt however 
WMO [1990] gives the number 0.8 Mt a year. Cumulative production up to 1990 is 
about 20 Mt
But, you have not told us where the rest of the CFC is. Has it dropped to the
ground? 
No, the CFC is still in the stratosphere, acting as a new source, and since the 
lifetime of CFC is much longer than for CH3Cl, you have already "used up"
the natural emission after a few years, while the CFC concentration may continue
to growth.
To show this have made a little "model calculation" which I will present 
below. 
Values used: Lifetime CFC  :100 years
             Lifetime CH3Cl:1 year (Wayne Chemistry of Atmospheres, 1 year 
lifetime in the troposphere, less than 1 year in the stratosphere)
             Lifetime HCl in the atmosphere 2 years (Parsons faq
Simplifying the calculations Lifetime=100% loss, not 63 %
Emissions CFC 0.8 Mt/year
Flux of CFC to the stratosphere: 1 Mt /year ( no loss in the troposphere)
Flux of CH3Cl to the stratosphere=0.25*0.8Mt/year=0.2Mt/year
Timestep of the model 0.5 years
Initial mass: 0kt
Mass given in kt, no decimal numbers
            CH3Cl             CFC            HClnatural     HCl anthr.
0.5 year:   100               400             0                0
1   year:   150               798            50                2
1.5 year:   175              1194           113                5   
2.  year:   188              1588           172               10 
2.5 year:   194              1980           223               16
3.  year:   197              2370           264               22
3.5 year:   198              2758           296               28
4.  year:   199              3145           321               35
5.  year:   200              3911           355               49
10. year:   200              7631           397              123
20. year:   200             14534           400              264
30. year:   200             20779           400              391
31. year:   200             21370           400              403
After 30 years with this v e r y simple model we have about the situation.
described in your message. 
Cumulatice emission after 30. years is 24 Mt, not to far from the value
given in WMO[1990]
As you can see the anthropogenic HCl part is about the same amount as 
that from natural sources even though the yearly increase from anthropogenic
emissions are only about 12-13 kt. 
The steady state values of the "model" is by the way:
           200             80000            400              1600   
You should of course not use this model to calculate the budget itself,
since it so simplified, but I hope that it can explain to you how 
relatively small yearly increases may add up to a significant contribution.
Oeyvind Seland
Department of Geophysics
University of Oslo
Return to Top
Subject: Re: China and Food (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy)
From: Dale Wagner
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 11:35:10 -0800
J McGinnis wrote:
> Only about 1/3 of those facing famine are in Africa, most of the rest
> are in South and Southeast Asia. Africa is considered to be more of a
> problem because the population is still doubling with each generation.
> 
>.
Wasn't it just a few years ago that AIDS was supposed to devastate the 
population of Africa because 60 or 90% had it?  Hollering wolf too often 
makes it much harder to get attention-pretty soon the envoirementilists 
will have to bring in the pelt to keep from being laughed at.  Which is 
too bad because they have some valid points that need to be examimed.
Dale Wagner
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy
From: jwas@ix.netcom.com(jw)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 17:40:27 GMT
In <32ca3601.298311109@nntp.net-link.net> briand@net-link.net (Brian
Carnell) writes: 
>
>On 24 Nov 1996 14:25:12 GMT, yuku@io.org (Yuri Kuchinsky) wrote:
>> Japanese logging companies are destroying the rainforests of SE
>>Asia faster than you can say "libertarian". Now they moved into
Siberia to
>>continue the same. 
The same? Destroying the *rainforests of Siberia*?!
Now that is more than naughty of them. It's nutty. :-)
Return to Top
Subject: Re: "Is air getting cleaner?"
From: Lotto Lai
Date: Fri, 29 Nov 1996 02:22:02 +0800
Hi Claire Gilbert,
	I don't think air getting cleaner.  The word 'cleaner' is 
misleading.  Because the pollutants are emitted day to day.  I think the 
U.S. EPA is reported that the emission of pollutants are under control, 
therefore, the air quality will better compared with the past year.
	Even though emission of pollutants are decrease, the air quality 
may not necessary be improved.  It is depended on that the input into the 
system is lesser than the output of the system.  For example, the SO2 
emission is less than that SO2 suspended or transfered to whatever form 
deposited (dry / wet) in the surface of the territories.
I ++
LO/\O  Lai
lotto@sky.com.hk
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Wind Power
From: Mike Bergey
Date: 28 Nov 1996 18:09:18 GMT
Sorry, I was off the air when Rod Adams offered the following bet:
>> Here is a prediction and a bet.  I predict that the total contribution
>> of wind generated electricity in the United States will not
>> exceed 5% of the total market in any given year.  Anyone who would like
>> to place a bet with me of up to $100 can receive 5:1 odds that
>> this prediction will remain true through at least 2020.
>
>> Rod Adams
>> Adams Atomic Engines, Inc.
Mr. Adams, you have a taker at $100.
Of course, this is probably only $1.89 in inflation adjusted dollars. But, what the hay - its the principle of the thing.
Mike Bergey
Bergey Windpower Co.
Norman, OK
< mbergey@bergey.com >
http://www.bergey.com
P.S. - Rod, our 10 kW wind tubines already produce energy cheaper than 1,200 MW nukes.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: "'Haze' by any other name is 'smoke'"
From: Jane Allen
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 12:05:17 -0600
The smokey mountains were named such because of the natural smoke
emitted by all the trees. This was long before any factories or cars
existed.
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Mountain Bikers Are Carrying GUNS!
From: Kristan Roberge
Date: 28 Nov 1996 18:58:01 GMT
Ron Goins <"Jjoins"@ix,netcom.com> wrote:
>
> Thomas H. Kunich wrote:
> > Who were this guy's chief (almost total) customers? The cops. While I was
> > there a cop bought a quite illegal bazooka. I didn't see the thing and
> > so couldn't swear to it, but that was what he asked for and he received
> > a box of the appropriate size.
>  just wondering.....
>  what does this have to do with mountain BIKERS?????
> oh, i see that it has been spammed acrss a whole bunch of 
> newsgroups..... some people will never learn.
Ok... how's this for making it on-topic...
The Swiss Army has a regiment of bicycle-mounted soldiers that technically
pre-dated the use and invention of the mountain bike, and they carry
ALL their equipment with them on their bikes including Bazooka's and
various other anti-tank armnaments...
happy now?!?
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Mountain Bikers Are Carrying GUNS!
From: drh92@aber.ac.uk (DANIEL ROBERT HOLDSWORTH)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 18:04:52 -0000
In article <01bbda6c$254dcf00$185392cf@rayspaw>, "Ray Spaw"
 writes:
:On the other hand, a pistol of appropriate caliber for anticipated animal
:hazards, with hunting ammo can certainly be handy if there's a mastiff or
:pit bull you can't outrun or shout down, as happened to a friend recently.
:Luckily he had a 9mm with him (licensed) and the pit bull that attacked him
:was dispatched quickly on the road. 
There was an old design of low-calibre pistol made, probably around the
turn of the century or maybe a little later, called a "Velo-dog" pistol.
The device was small calibre, around .22 to .25, with a folding trigger and
no trigger guard. It was only about a 2 shot design, designed to fire 
mushrooming or expanding ammo, with the intent of either killing or crippling
any dog it was used on, thus allowing the cyclist to escape.
In the UK these days, it seems like you can't even say you own a firearm
of any sort without being labeled a dangerous lunatic. However, making
a paintball gun that fires either an irritant, such as powdered cayenne 
pepper dust, or an adhesive, or something, is attractive, as is making a
very powerful waterpistol, and loading it with a gel/slime mix containing
capsaicin, plus some stinking agent, plus an anti-lick agent.
This latter idea is probably the best; coat the dog with something that
really smells dreadful and is distasteful enough that the dog won't lick
it off. That would be a memorable experience for both dog and owner...
:Interestingly, a local deputy witnessed
:it and, after checking my friend's license, went to the owner's house and
:told him to collect the carcass off the road. It's unfortunate that the
:owner was vicious and taught his dog to be likewise. I didn't hear if the
:owner saved the pelt and meat, though. ;)
Nah, prdators are usually not good eating, and unless it was an interesting
brindle or pure white, I'd probably not bother with the pelt, either. 
If you want decent pelts, go looking for roadkilled cats or rabbits...
It is by caffeine alone I set my mind in motion, it is by the beans of Java
that thoughts acquire speed, the hands acquire shaking, the shaking becomes a
warning, it is by caffeine alone I set my mind in motion.
Dan Holdsworth, drh92@aber.ac.uk **SPAMMERS WILL BE FILTERED**
Return to Top
Subject: Re: The Limits To Growth
From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:34:50 GMT
jw (jwas@ix.netcom.com) wrote:
: >atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey) wrote:
: >> Blightly calculating
: >>that there are only 700 million malnourished people in the world
: >>and not 800 million is great for nitpicking on the usenet.  
: I wonder what "blightly" means: "blithely", "brightly",
: or is it derived from "blight"?
  jw,  I promise to actually proofread my posts instead of 
  blithely posting away.  Thanks for pointing out the error.
  Regards,
  Atanu
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Yuri receives hypocrite of the week award (was Re: Ecological Economics and Entropy)
From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 19:59:54 GMT
Yuri Kuchinsky (yuku@io.org) wrote:
: You're right, my marshmallow-for-brains friend. I have spent many years in
: the poor and overpopulated 3rd world countries, and feel kind of emotional
: about all the suffering that goes on there.
I agree with Yuri.  It is heartbreaking to see the suffering that is
the consequence of overpopulation and poverty.  How much technology
has done to generally improve the state of the world has little
meaning for someone who is suffering here and now.  I don't deny that
today there are more people enjoying a comfortable existence than ever
before.  But that brings the suffering of a billion in even more sharp
relief.  I feel that that suffering is meaningless, dehumanizing and
stupid.  I believe that if it were in the interests of the powerful of
this world, they would be able to solve the problem without major
disruption in their lifestyles.  Yet they don't do that.  I suspect
that ultimately, it is a rational choice by the movers and shakers.
If the third world were to prosper, it would hurt the interests of the
first world.  That is an unsupported hypothesis.  
Yet, I am forced to conclude that because I don't see any reason why
the population explosion of the world cannot be halted humanely with
the application of known technology and a few billion dollars.  I
believe that as long as the third world continues to have near
subsistence level surplus population, wages would be sufficiently
depressed so that labor intensive goods can be imported cheaply from
there by the first world.  And corruption and greed on the part of the
'leaders' of the third world would ensure a steady military struggle
which would require the imports of armaments from the first world and
continue the cycle of poverty and dependence. 
I don't doubt that the third world deserves every misfortune that it
is prey to.  They are revealed to be weak and stupid.  Darwinian
selection would take care of them in the not too long term.  Yet I
feel for the children who are born blameless and then grow up to
contribute to the mess that is the third world.
Wish I had the power to force the world leaders to live under grinding
poverty and hunger for just a month.  And the people who are so good
at arithmetic to live on an empty stomach for 3 days - I wonder how
comforted they will be by the thought that although they are hungry,
there are more people living well today than ever before in the history
of mankind.
Atanu
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Corporate "call boys": MORE OF THE SAME
From: atanu@are.Berkeley.EDU (Atanu Dey)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 20:14:30 GMT
jw (jwas@ix.netcom.com) wrote:
: In <3299E756.7608@ilhawaii.net> Jay Hanson 
: writes: 
: >The relationship between environmental scarcity and violent conflict
: >is well known
: ... not to exist.
 I suggest you try out a little thought experiment, jw.
 If you were in a room with a fixed amount of food, when do you think
 there is a greater likelihood of a violent conflict:
	a) there are only a few people who can comfortably 
	   divide the food amongst themselves
	b) there are 3 times the number of people than in part a)
	   above
 If the answer is b), does it require maximum likelihood estimation
 methods to conclude that environmental scarcity has some relation to
 the occurrence of violent conflict?
 Is it a lack of imagination, or a lack of knowledge, or inability to 
 reason logically  - what is it that makes you say that there is no
 relationship?
 Regards,
 Atanu
Return to Top
Subject: Re: Stone Age Economics - part two
From: David Weinstein
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 18:01:41 +0000
I
>>I was already aware that these locations would not be up to the
>>standards of, say, Los Angeles (a desert), or Toronto (a swamp).
>
>Or New York or Atlanta or Pittsburgh or any number of places that
>did not have to be somehow converted the way your two very
>atypical examples do.
>
not true: Manhatten was a swampy island. All of these area needed
flattenning, clearing, etc: something you CANT do in your lifetime, you
need cooperation. 
-- 
David Weinstein
A Yankee Abroad
Return to Top
Subject: Carbon Dioxide
From: truthman@cyberus.ca
Date: Thu, 28 Nov 1996 14:01:04 -0600
Does any one know whether Carbon Dioxide has ever been declared or cited as a pollutant. I am not talking about the Greenhouse effect etc etc, ii it a poolutant like for instance, BOD, chlorine ?
-------------------==== Posted via Deja News ====-----------------------
      http://www.dejanews.com/     Search, Read, Post to Usenet
Return to Top
Subject: Re: "'Haze' by any other name is 'smoke'"
From: kfoster@rainbow.rmii.com (Kurt Foster)
Date: 28 Nov 1996 20:21:19 GMT
Jane Allen (ballen@iwl.net) wrote:
: The smokey mountains were named such because of the natural smoke
: emitted by all the trees. This was long before any factories or cars
: existed.
:
  That's what "Field Guide to the Atmosphere" calls "blue haze", and is
quite natural.  Also natural is "gray haze".  However, there is also
"brown to smoky blue haze", which is man-caused.
  The Field Guide also gives information on the particle sizes of various
hazes.  Blue haze particles are 0.1 to 0.3 microns.  Pollution haze
particles are generally larger, and often hygroscopic, so scatter and
absorb light more effectively than "blue haze".
Return to Top

Downloaded by WWW Programs
Byron Palmer